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MCP - Molycorp, Inc.

post #1 of 673
Thread Starter 
chart.ashx?t=mcp&ta=1&p=d&s=l

Molycorp, Inc. is a rare earth oxide (REO) producer in the Western hemisphere and own most fully developed rare earth project outside of China. The Company has made investments, and focuses on investing in developing applications for individual rare earth elements (REEs). The Company estimates total proven and probable reserves of 2.21 billion pounds of REO, with an average ore grade of 8.24%, using a cut-off grade of 5%, at its Mountain Pass mine. At its Mountain Pass facility, the Company mines, crushes, mills and separates rare earth ore to produce individual REEs. It holds a 30-year mine plan permit and an associated environmental impact report, both of which were issued during the year ended December 31, 2004.

The Company is producing and selling small quantities of REOs from its pilot processes using stockpiled feedstocks. It completed processing stockpiled lanthanum to recover neodymium and praseodymium, and produce didymium oxide (a combination of neodymium and praseodymium). The Company is commencing a second pilot processing campaign to recover cerium, lanthanum, neodymium, praseodymium and a samarium/europium/gadolinium concentrate from bastnasite concentrate stockpiles.
post #2 of 673
Thread Starter 
Got this on short watch, looking for an ugly candle at least before venturing into this firestorm.
post #3 of 673
Thread Starter 
Moving up my short watch list, rare earth is all the rage right now, but if this puts in a low volume high, I'll probably venture in with a small position looking for a quick and mid-sized correction and a stop above that high. Might be on course for a lower vol high today.
post #4 of 673
if you trade canadian listed... check out AVL.to Haas been on a tear as well. I played it long but I only held from 2.20~ to 3$. They are years away from any possible production.. will be a good short if things cool off in rare earth world
post #5 of 673
i'm playing AVL as well, got in at 2.80.

I actually like Rare Element ltd (canadian sym: RES, american sym: REE). Theses guys have been on a surge lately.
post #6 of 673
Quote:
Originally Posted by rando View Post
Got this on short watch, looking for an ugly candle at least before venturing into this firestorm.
how's this candle looking for ya?
post #7 of 673
Dec 25 puts looking cheap
post #8 of 673
Thats one bloody ugly candle
post #9 of 673
Thread Starter 
Yeah, this is what we wanted to see. This drop was probably somewhat technical and also news-driven, given that China will resume rare earth exports. I'll want to see how price reacts to today's move but it could be good to go down more any time. The similar candle from late September was a false alarm so we need to watch for signs of that.
post #10 of 673
Dec 25 puts?
post #11 of 673
UPDATE 1-Rare earth producer Molycorp wins OK for mine

Mon Dec 13, 2010 11:04am EST

* Final permits secured

* Shares up 7.4 pct

NEW YORK Dec 13 (Reuters) - Rare earth metals producer Molycorp Inc (MCP.N) said it has secured the remaining permits necessary to start building a mining and manufacturing center in California, enabling the company to begin mining ore next year.

Molycorp will break ground on the $531 million facility in Mountain Pass, California, on Jan. 2. The facility is scheduled to reach full capacity by the end of 2012, the company said.

Molycorp, the only rare earth oxide producer in the Western Hemisphere, has begun pre-stripping operations after winning state approval for altering a streambed, the last of several environmental permits needed.

Molycorp shares were up 7.4 percent to $33.62 in morning trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

Last week, Japanese trading house Sumitomo Corp (8053.T) agreed to invest $130 million in Molycorp in exchange for a guaranteed seven-year supply of the minerals, which are used in products ranging from wind turbines to MP3 players. [ID:nN10286929]

Greenwood, Colorado-based Molycorp has become a darling of Wall Street since China cut its export quotas on the elements -- also used in computer hard drives -- by more than half, sending prices of the minerals soaring. Molycorp shares are up about 140 percent from their $14 initial public offering price in July.

Molycorp last month reported a quarterly loss as it modernizes its mine, and said it would not issue sales or earnings targets because of volatile rare earth prices. Its CEO said global supply and demand would remain out of balance for the foreseeable future. [ID:nN15274207] (Reporting by Nick Zieminski; editing by John Wallace)
post #12 of 673
I like molycorp also check out Lynas Corp as another way to play the rare earths LYSCF(a pure play outside of China)....
post #13 of 673
This is still looking good. China has cut its rare earth metals export quotas for 2011 by 11%
post #14 of 673
Heavy short an hour ago
post #15 of 673
That's one ugly candle on the chart. A $9 dollar difference between high and low. This comes as CNBC reports that MCP mine is not producing yet as rumors earlier circulated that it was beginning production
post #16 of 673
Leebert,
I've sat here for the last two days with my jaw hanging down near my ankles watching the rocket shot on MCP and REE. I couldn't understand why these stocks were going up so much, I mean with these share prices you would think that these guys were going to ship product before the end of this year.Below is a link to an interview with DR. Bill Bird, former CEO of REE and current CEO of MDL ( I own a bunch of shares of MDL) In the interview he states that MCP is two years away from production. Here is the excerpt:

"BB: Both are very good properties, which I believe are closest to production outside of China. Mountain Pass had supplied the world with REEs for about 50 years. It is a very large deposit and has a lot of proven ore. This material’s ready to mine, the engineers have mapped it out and the mine is ready to go.

However, the company has some start-up issues. The mine closed down in the early 2000s because it couldn’t compete with the low prices in China. It has to restart now and that takes some time. Molycorp likely must reapply for operation permits from the state of California and the federal government, as well as some local permits where it operates. The company also decided to build an entirely new mill that will likely be a cleaner operation, more environmentally friendly and easier to permit. I attended a conference a few weeks ago where one of the company’s representatives said it would be two years before it goes into production (fall 2012)."


The full interview can be found here:
http://oakshirefinancial.com/2010/12...pply-hysteria/
post #17 of 673
Really taking off today here on the report that China is going to limit is export of REE's.
post #18 of 673
Quote:
Originally Posted by overpar View Post
Leebert,
I've sat here for the last two days with my jaw hanging down near my ankles watching the rocket shot on MCP and REE. I couldn't understand why these stocks were going up so much, I mean with these share prices you would think that these guys were going to ship product before the end of this year.Below is a link to an interview with DR. Bill Bird, former CEO of REE and current CEO of MDL ( I own a bunch of shares of MDL) In the interview he states that MCP is two years away from production. Here is the excerpt:

"BB: Both are very good properties, which I believe are closest to production outside of China. Mountain Pass had supplied the world with REEs for about 50 years. It is a very large deposit and has a lot of proven ore. This material’s ready to mine, the engineers have mapped it out and the mine is ready to go.

However, the company has some start-up issues. The mine closed down in the early 2000s because it couldn’t compete with the low prices in China. It has to restart now and that takes some time. Molycorp likely must reapply for operation permits from the state of California and the federal government, as well as some local permits where it operates. The company also decided to build an entirely new mill that will likely be a cleaner operation, more environmentally friendly and easier to permit. I attended a conference a few weeks ago where one of the company’s representatives said it would be two years before it goes into production (fall 2012)."


The full interview can be found here:
http://oakshirefinancial.com/2010/12...pply-hysteria/
Very well stated facts, we need to be careful about traders playing this rare earth game from Hong Kong with information on China policy. Any news of export easing will crushed REE and MCP. Our market is open. Play these counter based on technical and take profit. Fundamental not applicable until prices from China make sense for MCP and REE production.
post #19 of 673
Methinks that buyers will head to the door as this momentum play starts to peter out this afternoon. I'm thinking it closes <3%.

Looking for a convincing break of 49 support on the (48.75 or so) before going short/puts for the EOD selloff.
post #20 of 673
Called that wrong, stayed strong into close. Looks like support building at 49.


Not ready to really call anything on it though, its been such a see-saw, better to see where its going at the beginning of the day and get on that train.

There is a gap to fill back in the 45 area though....might look to go long down there.
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