Best stocks for 2012?
Which stocks are you buying into long term in the coming months?
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With all the pending lawsuits with respect to antenna issue, we'll just have to wait and see how that's gonna effect apple years to come.
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People are really filling a lawsuit over that
![]() IMO I think apple will stay in this range or drift slightly lower for the next year or two until we get a new product on the market. I havent heard any talks of what is next to come so investors might be cautious until we hear something |
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i think people are getting way too upbeat on aapl. i think it has reached it maturity. it is now in the situation of a msft. it may keep coming out with new iphones but the new phone just replaces the old phone sales. i really dont think they will be able to add another product that will get them past the 300b market cap barrier. iphone/ipad at most can get them to that 300b mcap. i really think they done put their top in.
also i notice most people are like me. back in the 90's i got a new cell once or twice per year. now days as the phones get better i keep them longer. i kept my last phone for two years. i really expect that i will keep my new evo for even longer. thats how a good amount of ipone 4 buyers will feel. these phones are so loaded now that its going to be hard for the next one to be much better. |
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Do you watch golf?
Steve Jobs is the best, he is the Tiger Woods of tech (minus the sex scandal). I'm not sure how many times I've heard from "experts" claiming Apple is "saturated, overpriced, and slowing." Apple has less than around an 8% market share in personal computers. Given that they undisputedly make better computers than ANYONE, why can't that number rise to 20% by 2013? 50% by 2016? 80% by 2020? Why can't Apple reinvent the television? I feel that's their next product. They get a deal with Netflix to stream every movie ever made onto your TV, automatically synced with your iTunes music and connected to your home theater system (also built by Apple), a built in DVR that puts Tivo to absolute shame and sends them BK...why not? That's a rhetorical question. If Steve wants something done, he does it. |
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1) Jobs won't be around forever. Heck, he wouldn't even be around right now if not for that black market kidney he got last year. The day he keels over, that stock is going to absolutely plummet, because it's his hype and marketing that keeps this company afloat, not the quality of their products.
2) Yes, their computers have an 8% market share, which is about all they'll ever have. Because they *aren't* the best, they're form over functionality. They've had less than a 10% market share for DECADES. This isn't a new company. What's saying they won't have 30% by 2013? The fact that they've never been able to. 3) Netflix already has deals to stream things to your TV. It's called an XBox 360, a Playstation 3, a Wii, a Slingbox, Roku, or a media convergence center. 4) TiVo is already basically bankrupt, because cable companies already provide DVR's. 5) For all the hype about their iPhones, people seem to overlook (because the media tells them to) that for every 3 iPhones sold, 5 Androids are sold. They tend to overlook that Apple only has like a 20% market share in the smartphone world. The Android OS will ultimately become the dominant mobile platform out there - it's an undeniable fact. 6) Then, of course, we have the iPad - the fad of the decade so far, it seems For all the hype about how many sold so quickly (apparently people had never heard of a Tablet PC before, somehow), how often do you really see someone walking around with one? One of my homes is in San Francisco, which is sort of Apple's big stronghold, and not even I see that many people with one out here anymore. I imagine the typical user experience is a lot like the pilot program that was done at my company not too far back - people used them for about 3 weeks and then once the novelty of them wore off and they realized they weren't all that functional, they got tossed in a drawer. So with all this, how exactly is AAPL going to move much from here? I see these analysts adjusting their price targets to 390 a share, and I have to shake my head. |
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This was a good post, but I am going to respectfully disagree with most of your points.
2) I'm not going to get into the Mac vs. PC debate. Personally (I have 2 PCs and a Macbook), I prefer computers that are faster, easier to use, last longer, and don't get error messages or viruses. But I guess it's a matter of preference. . |