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Rohlinmt's technical watch list

post #1 of 126
Thread Starter 
What is this?

This is an experimental watch list for stocks that meet my specific technical criteria. The idea behind this list is to provide a trackable list of screened stocks that meet my candlestick, RSI, and bollinger band criteria, producing between a reliable 5-10% gain consistently.

The criteria are as follows:

1. NASDAQ or NYSE stocks, priced from $1 to $25
2. Stock price is candling red
3. Most recent red candlestick is split virtually evenly by the lower bollinger band (14,1)
4. RSI(14) is 45 or lower
5. Stock is not poised for any major correction
6. Stock does not appear to have any major news forthcoming

When a stock meets these criteria, based on my research, it stands a very high liklihood of dropping one additional day, then correcting upwards to the middle bollinger band, reaching that target in the coming 5-10 days, which is the sell point.

Will this strategy work? We shall see. I'll post stocks on my watch list and also document which stocks I choose to trade with.

This is NOT an "OOH! BUY BUY BUY!" thread. This is NOT a thread that will be full of 5 baggers. If successful, this strategy will document a series of stocks that gain 5-10% per week. I'd be more than happy with an exponential 5-10% weekly (10% weekly would turn $7k into $974k after commission by year's end.)

Do your own DD before entering any stock that I mention here.

Good luck. I hope this produces something fruitful.
post #2 of 126
Thread Starter 
Been working on this for a while, just never had the stones to actually try it.

Here's my initial watch list for Monday:



The top ones will be the ones I plan on watching closely and potentially entering if the signs seem positive. Thoughts and opinions are always welcome.
post #3 of 126
good enough for me...sounds interesting and realistic...
only look in here at a handful or less of these watchlists regularly...
but i will check u out now and then...
glty
post #4 of 126
I will be very interested to see the trade results of the stocks you choose to trade.

I might even put the ones you enter into a watch list to track. I'm always interested in these technical trade strategies.

The best of luck to ya!
post #5 of 126
Seems like you're pretty well organized, which is the first step to success when implementing any plan. I like the notes in your watch list as well for future ideas. Best of luck.
post #6 of 126
Thread Starter 
First day I do this, computer goes down with a bad virus... On another office computer for the time being...

As for the watch list:

SPEX looks very good right now, just a hair above the target entry. The reversal seems to have started... If it drops below 1.18, I'll seek entry.

ANIK took a dive, seeming to indicate that the falling isn't over yet... I need to see some stabilization tomorrow before any possible entry. There's the possibility of correction back to October's numbers.

DSCM has already started returning towards the midpoint... the entry point was hit earlier in the day today. If the candle closes red, this may be one to watch tomorrow, otherwise the ship has sailed.

CMC - see DSCM. Gapped up beyond my profitable entry point. Off watch for entry, but will continue to watch for performance..
post #7 of 126
Thread Starter 
SPEX has hit the entry point of 1.18, but hit 1.20 before I could place a buy... I can wait it out or go elsewhere.

A quick cursory glance of the grey stocks on this list shows them doing... what they were supposed to do.

MINI - hit the target entry and rose. Currently +3.6% OTD
GHDX - hit the target entry and rose. Currently +2.3% OTD
OMEX - hit the target entry and rose. Currently +2.1% OTD
SFD - ht the target entry and slightly rose (larger gain expected tomorrow)
FBCM - hit the target entry and rose. Currently +1.1% OTD
PAG - hit the target entry and rose. Currently +1.0% OTD
CPSL - did NOT hit the target entry, then rose.
FRPT - hit the target entry and rose. Currently +1.1% OTD

etc etc... this is very cool.
post #8 of 126
Thread Starter 
In SPEX @ 1.18.

If my logic holds, this stock will be at 1.32 in the next 5-10 days. Guess it's trial by fire.

ANIK is still too volatile...
If DSCM closes red, it will be a great target for entry tomorrow...
CMC appears to be starting its uptrend.
post #9 of 126
Thread Starter 
Wow... busy day at the office, didn't have a lot of time to look at the stocks until now...

SPEX is +5.88%, up to 1.26. I am OUT.

When I saw that my valuation method ACTUALLY worked, I panicked and decided to lock in profits. With my entry point at 1.18, I turned a 6% profit. I was so surprised to see that it was successful, I decided against taking a chance and sticking to my target exit at 1.32. Hard to say no to locking in profits.

As for the other 3 stocks I had on watch:
CMC has gone back down to a spot where entry would be reasonable, but I'd wait to see what the close is today.

DSCM did NOT candle red yesterday, so it's a no-go, profit potential too slim. Taking off watch.

ANIK is starting to settle, and if it ends slightly positive could be a potential entry for tomorrow.
Tonight I'll run some more scans and see about tweaking the watch list. I'd say 4 stocks with the most 5-10 day potential is a good way to go.

Time to sit around at my real job, thinking about the money I made in the market today!
post #10 of 126
Congrats! *will be watching*
post #11 of 126
Thread Starter 
Thanks!

Of course I would be too yellow to stick it out in my own pick... My 6% was nice, but SPEX is up over 8% on the day, up 9% from the target entry point I called, and looks like it's going to hit 1.32 as predicted within the timetable... I just need to have a little more confidence in myself, and then I can make some real money.

I like CMC's chances to correct around +6% in the next 5-10 days if it closes around 15.50. I won't be getting into it while my funds settle with SPEX, but it's worth watching.

ANIK is going to finish positive today, and if it finishes around 7.70, I see a +6% correction in the next 5-10 days. I won't be in this one either

Everything I'm looking for is there... red candlesticks slashed by the lower bollie, no news, and a low RSI.
post #12 of 126
Thread Starter 
Run ran my scans for tonight...

Two stocks that meet my criteria that I'll be looking into more in the pre-market are NURO and PARL. I'll dive more into them (including my target in and out) tomorrow morning...

This will be for you guys and to test my valuation criteria. I won't be in either, while I wait for SPEX funds to settle.

CMC closed too high today to keep on watch. Profit potential in the next 5-10 days is too low (~4%). ANIK also started making its move a little early... the profit potential for that stock based on an entry at today's close is around 3.7%. Removing it from my watch as well.
post #13 of 126
this looks very interesting. very well organize. keep up the good work.
post #14 of 126
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by seriousMONEY View Post
this looks very interesting. very well organize. keep up the good work.
Thanks! It's a work in progress...

PARL and NURO have both set up nicely for the correction back to the middle of the Bollie.

For NURO, I'd set my target entry at 2.28 (where it currently is), and my target exit at 2.47, for a projected profit of roughly 8.0%...

PARL looks even better. It moved and moved back before I could get to my computer today... Can you believe my dog vomited all over our bed? The wife was not thrilled... Another good target entry at 1.96 with my expected 5-10 day exit at 2.11, for a projected profit of roughly 8.1%.

If I had free funds, I'd chance them on either of these two. If I had to choose just one to put my money in today, I'd choose PARL.
post #15 of 126
I just wanted to say this seems like a very good thread! It would be cool if you put a chart on here just for an example so the people that aren't sure what BB's, RSI etc are have a chance to see the actual chart? Just a thought, Nice thread!


Oh and where are you screening at?
post #16 of 126
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwingTrader View Post
I just wanted to say this seems like a very good thread! It would be cool if you put a chart on here just for an example so the people that aren't sure what BB's, RSI etc are have a chance to see the actual chart? Just a thought, Nice thread!


Oh and where are you screening at?
Thanks, Swingtrader! That's a good idea about the charts. I'm going to start doing that, probably tomorrow. I screen for the initial bollinger crossover and price limit at Stockcharts.com (had 27 hits last night), then look at each stock individually at stockcharts and google finance to evaluate the rest of my criteria.

By the way, SPEX hit my target exit of 1.32 today! If I had stuck to my guns and bought at my target entry, then sold at my target exit (instead of bailing with a 6% gain), I would've made the full 10.6% profit! That's what I get for not trusting my system on the very first trade! Hope somebody out there stuck with it to the end!

PARL (had a 1.96 suggested target entry today) is in a good spot to hit that 8.1% profit in the next 5-10 days. Full disclosure: I'm not in it. I won't be in anything until funds settle at the end of the week.
post #17 of 126
SPEX is up to 1.41 right now
post #18 of 126
Do you still draw supports-resistances and trendlines or do you base it just off of your scan? How do you find your target?
post #19 of 126
Oh and Spex looks like it has lots of room to go up still looks nice!
post #20 of 126
Spex @ 1.55
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