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Gambler's Biotech thread - Page 21

post #401 of 2879
By the way, here is a tip for you loser, invest in CXM and finally make some money you big spender.
post #402 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by TOMMYGUN View Post
Your stock picks SUCK! dude.
How much you losing each day, you sure don't do well on PHARMAS, you better start following gay porn stocks or something.
Who are you talking about, Gambler?

TG has either been hitting the bottle and posting while drunk or someone hacked his account.
post #403 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by TOMMYGUN View Post
By the way, here is a tip for you loser, invest in CXM and finally make some money you big spender.
I was going to but now i might just think twice.

Thanks Tommy !

I am watching JTX. This has seasonal earnings with two cyclical poor quarters and two good quarters. The two poor quarter has passed just last week and it went from $3.96 to $5.50 in two days. Great but then it dropped 22% after some bad news about a bank that supplied its finacial products no longer offering that service,

So JTX is ready to explode on the news that they have a new Bank to provide the financial services they require for their loans to their clients. Im not an expert in this area and it would only be a hunch that JTX will get that new financial service and will see above $6.
post #404 of 2879
Gambler,

I had great experiences investing in both BIEL and HTDS a few months ago. If you can spot these stocks, you can definitely benefit on the run up. Are you looking into OTCBB/pinks in addition to big board stocks? Also, is there a website where you get information about trials and FDA decision dates? Thanks and good work.
post #405 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by glitters View Post
TG has either been hitting the bottle and posting while drunk or someone hacked his account.
Yeah pretty much. The way he's been acting is pretty out of line. I think he's stuck in high school or something.
post #406 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by gambler2076 View Post
Going into 2010 holding 105,000 shares of CYCC I rebought at 1.05 ish... next catalyst I see is the Jan 13 conference. I think there is a decent chance of getting a PR out of that, which could be an upside catalyst.

http://www.onemedplace.com/onemedfor...ogram_2010.pdf

Of course, there is also a decent chance this could get back to 0.95, as it has before. I think that 0.90 is pretty unlikely, but who knows.

g
Good luck.

Its an interesting play and my interest is piqued. May take a position if it breaks a buck or shows an upward trend.

Despite your buying a lot of shares and constituting a sizeable chunk of the volume, it still fell 4%, so must be some decent selling pressure still out there, maybe Kingsbridge.

Drug actually looks promising, so i can see it influencing sentiment strongly in the near term...regardless of whether it ultimately pans out.

A negative is one of the things you like about it--its small cap. May mean a LOT of dilution ahead and scare off buyers. They have a 60 million stockswap credit line with Kingsbridge, which at the current price means up to 60 million new shares could be issued if I read that correctly. Of course you'd likely be out long before that happens. An old CC mentioned a burn rate of 5 mill per quarter and that they had enough cash until Q1 2010. So the 1 million dilution this week is only the start and may explain the high volume on a holiday week.

I dont know how serious or immenent the delisting issue is, but can also scare off buyers.

What type of new news do you think might come out of this onemedplace meeting? Any new data or rehash of previosuly released stuff?
post #407 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by TOMMYGUN View Post
By the way, here is a tip for you loser, invest in CXM and finally make some money you big spender.
Are you serious? I don't understand how you ever got a following on here. By respected members or not, just really a big wtf. You should know by now it wasn't ever necessarily your picks (despite the last three doing nothing yet) but rather your newsletter and insufficiency to explain entry/exit to your newbie audience that got you in this situation. Gambler at least provides some insight not just commands.
post #408 of 2879
Thread Starter 
I did make my relatively large purchase in CYCC before the news of the dilution came out... the stock will likely be under pressure on monday. I will have to decide if I am going to take a relatively large hit at the open and sell it all, or not. I still have a fairly large chunk of cash to average down, or maybe buy back later at 0.85$. We'll see.

g
post #409 of 2879
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by glitters View Post
Who are you talking about, Gambler?

TG has either been hitting the bottle and posting while drunk or someone hacked his account.
I did some thinking about this issue and was deciding whether or not I wanted to post this, but in the end, I decided to.

I believe that TG was so quick to snap at other people (such as myself) with personal attacks, because he probably was not profitable this year. If you think about it, what would be more frustrating than spending alot of mental energy and investing yourself both financially and emotionally in your picks, and have them implode. Sure the trading environment has been alot harder in the last third of the year as compared to the middle third. Many traders found that the easy momo money that was made from March to July all of a sudden disappeared from August to December. If someone is on edge financially, yet is really trying to find good picks, then the slightest provocation can set them off. Which is what I believe happened to TG when I corrected his typo of "CVM" vs "CXM".

This is kind of like a tell, in that I can gain information about others by probing a little, just as you can test a bid with a 100 share sell to see if the 100 share reserve order is really 100 shares, or 10,000.

That being said, I think that I have learned that TG probably didn't do so well this year, and that is what made him so easy to set off. But it also tells me that he likely is not conducting a pump and dump operation. If he were, he would be selling all his shares within minutes of his emails going out, and would be up massively for the year. The fact that he is irritable, which means he is probably not profitable, means that he probably is not doing front-loading pump and dump that many are accusing him of. That doesn't mean that others are not doing that, however. We at least know that at least a few traders are scalping off the spike generated by his emails.

So, on the off chance that TG reads this post, my advice to him would be that sometimes traders are just not profitable and of course, there is no law saying that all traders will be profitable. Clearly, most traders will never be profitable. If TG has really given a good, solid effort to be profitable, and was not profitable in one of the best long trading environments ever, then maybe it was not just meant to be. If he is not meant to trade then there are many other more productive ways to spend his time.

TG: If you do read this post, please do not take it the wrong way. I am in no way trying to be condescending, yet I am worried that you will take my post that way. I would rather you just not reply to this post as you could claim you never saw it, yet you would still be able to get the gist of my message. This is why I posted it on my thread, and not yours. To show that I am not just trying to be a condescending jerk, I will stop antagonizing you and posting on your thread.

Best of luck in your trading in 2010.

g
post #410 of 2879
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by glitters View Post
A negative is one of the things you like about it--its small cap. May mean a LOT of dilution ahead and scare off buyers. They have a 60 million stockswap credit line with Kingsbridge, which at the current price means up to 60 million new shares could be issued if I read that correctly.
You are incorrect. It is the lesser of 4M shares, OR 60M$, not the greater. No offense, but as you have just demonstrated, the average investor looking at the CEFF does not understand the terms of the CEFF, which makes the worry of dilution seem larger than it is.

http://findarticles.com/p/articles/m.../ai_n27470610/

"* Cyclacel can access up to $60 million from Kingsbridge in exchange for newly-issued shares of Cyclacel's common stock. Kingsbridge is committed under the CEFF to purchase the lesser of 4,084,590 shares of common stock or $60 million of common stock from Cyclacel. Cyclacel may access the capital for up to three years after the Securities and Exchange Commission declares effective the registration statement to be filed by Cyclacel covering the resale of the shares of common stock issuable to Kingsbridge in connection with the CEFF and the shares of common stock underlying the warrant issued to Kingsbridge discussed below."
post #411 of 2879
Thread Starter 
But all of this is moot. I may just put in a market sell of 110K shares at 0930:01 so you might be able to buy at 0.82 by thursday.

g
post #412 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by gambler2076 View Post
But all of this is moot. I may just put in a market sell of 110K shares at 0930:01 so you might be able to buy at 0.82 by thursday.

g
Would be hard to pass up at that price. Will see what happens. I'm long on XOMA, so am already in one company under the threat of delisting.

CYCC seems to be in a catch 22, as they need more shareholder equity to avoid delisting, but also must keep the pps above a buck.

After reading your link their Kingsbridge deal might not be so bad but again I might be missing something. I see now it was arranged back in 07 when the pps was much higher but had still fallen off a cliff. They were apparently all betting it was going back up. But if they really have access to 60 million cash for only 4 million shares they should jump all over that right now...so there might be some other fine print.
post #413 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by gambler2076 View Post
But it also tells me that he likely is not conducting a pump and dump operation. If he were, he would be selling all his shares within minutes of his emails going out, and would be up massively for the year. The fact that he is irritable, which means he is probably not profitable, means that he probably is not doing front-loading pump and dump that many are accusing him of.
I say no way to that. TG is just a defensive person. Even when CVM was going to daaaa moon I told people to sell at $2 analyzing some candlesticks and he told me to stick a candlestick up my ass , you know, in the TommyGun way. If he bought it when he picked it he was up big. Plain and simple. He immediately came off to me as an egocentric maniac, not someone who was irritable because they were losing money. Why do I care so much? He's terrible for the cause at HSM.

He's defensive because he wants that huge sheep like following not to think for themselves, something unfortunately for him recently may be happening now. This only batters the initial pump and dump because people will "wait" to see check out a pick instead of jumping in at his command--it's absolutely over the email P&D. And to think he isn't even buying a few shares before his email goes out and gives him an easy 20% is stupid--the SEC doesn't care nor have time for stuff like this.
post #414 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rossj711 View Post
And to think he isn't even buying a few shares before his email goes out and gives him an easy 20% is stupid--the SEC doesn't care nor have time for stuff like this.
Actually you characterizing the act of being ethical as "stupid" is as damning to you as anything TG posted about G is to him.
post #415 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by gambler2076 View Post
But all of this is moot. I may just put in a market sell of 110K shares at 0930:01 so you might be able to buy at 0.82 by thursday.

g
Personally if I were you and I was somewhat patient on holding I would average down with whatever cash I could and hold for the next month and come out ahead.
Although there's nothing I hate more than sitting around watching slow positions with not much movement. Maybe the marginal opportunity cost of the money is greater somewhere else than making it back with CYCC.
post #416 of 2879
Quote:
Originally Posted by glitters View Post
Actually you characterizing the act of being ethical as "stupid" is as damning to you as anything TG posted about G is to him.
I took a criminal profiling class because I thought it was interesting. What I was saying is it's stupid not to characterize him as this type of person via his actions/mannerisms on this board. Don't twist what I'm saying glitters.
post #417 of 2879
nobody cares guys, TG is gone, case closed.
post #418 of 2879
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rossj711 View Post
He's defensive because he wants that huge sheep like following not to think for themselves, something unfortunately for him recently may be happening now.

And to think he isn't even buying a few shares before his email goes out and gives him an easy 20% is stupid--the SEC doesn't care nor have time for stuff like this.
The point of my arguments with him was that I wanted the noobs to stop being little zombies buying and selling on his command. Hopefully if enough traders started pointing out the futility of buying 5 minutes later and 30% points higher than when his emails went out, maybe the lightbulb would come on and the noobs would realize that they are getting hustled.

The more I see how he operates, the more he reminds me EXACTLY of evil Russell on Survivor Samoa... He manipulated people, lied to people, when he got threatened he eliminated people, and described himself as the "puppetmaster".

http://bearmythology.net/2009/09/18/...urvivor-samoa/

Make sure you click on the video... it fits him to a 'T', imo.

As far as your assertion that TG isn't buying shares before his email? of course he is. No reasonable trader doubts that. What I am questioning is if he is selling those shares within minutes of his email going out. Obviously his emails create a buying interest and price spike in some thinly traded stocks. The question is, is... does he load up on the stock before the email (probably yes) and then put in a limit sell order at, say, 20% higher than the current price, and then send out his email, virtually guaranteeing that he will make an instant profit.

If he is just loading up before the email, then I think it is somewhat ethically questionable, but not illegal. If he is loading up before the email AND selling right after the email comes out, that is illegal. I had actually started to draft up and email to enforcement@sec.gov

http://www.sec.gov/complaint.shtml

with copies of his emails he sent, price charts, and asked them to investigate him for violation of SEC laws, much as they got Lebed

http://www.net4tv.com/VOICE/Story.cfm?storyID=2882

If he was not actually doing the pump and dump, then he would have nothing to fear. But if he was, he was in for a world of hurt.

But then I decided that that would be like kicking a guy when he was down, and just saved the draft of the email. So it is still there, to be emailed to the SEC if he doesn't rein himself in, but for now I won't send it.

g
post #419 of 2879
The chart on that stock clearly depicts that the "insiders" of the stock pick were buying shares prior to the release.
post #420 of 2879
Thread Starter 
Hehe... that video of Russell was the first hit when I google searched for "youtube russell puppetmaster", coming from a gay male website... it took me a moment to realize that.

http://www.google.com/search?source=...+ru&aqi=g-p1g9

I am sure that TG will have a field day with that one... lol

g
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