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Simon's Lotto Watchlist

post #1 of 307
Thread Starter 
Current lottos I'm holding: MONA, XHUA, FFGO, TNRI, TYRIA

Watching and possibly starting a position at some point: WIFT, MMTE, IHGP, IVIT



In the past I've had trouble trading .000X stocks, mainly because I think I was playing them wrong. These stocks can have tons of potential upside to them, but they are all guaranteed to be extremely high risk. Depending on the actual spread (difference between the bid and ask), if you were to buy at the ask, instantly you'd be down from 10% to 50% (actually 100% on stocks with no bid). My new philosophy with this type of stock now is to treat them like actual lotto tickets. The money set aside for them will be 100% expendable with the hopes that I hit it big on one or more of them.

Throwing $500 at one of these is no different than trading $5000 worth of a normal stock with a 10% stop loss, except here your loss is guaranteed to be only $500 (your $5k trade could gap down or get halted, causing you to lose more than $500), you're only tying up $500 instead of $5k, and your potential upside is just as high, if not higher (considering you can see runners go for 10x, 30x, 50x, or even more).

This all sounds great in theory, but the problem is there are tons of these stocks and only a small amount of them actually end up doing anything. This thread is going to be a list of any stocks that fit the criteria for a lotto, they generally will be triple zero and maybe double zero penny stocks, and most importantly they need to have something in the charts that makes me believe the price is most likely to head (much) higher.

Some of the things I look for in these setups are:

-Seriously depressed prices
-Huge volume spikes out of nowhere followed by lower volume pullbacks
-Longer term trends starting to turn up, which can easily be identified by looking at some of the longer term moving averages. Is the price above the 50 MA? Is the 50 MA angling up? Is the 50 MA on top of the 200 MA? How about the weekly chart, where is price is relation to the weekly 50 MA?


There is no one specific thing I'm looking for here, just anything that really stands out to me that makes me think the stock is getting ready to blow up. I don't care if it's because of hype and rumors, insiders loading up, shorts getting squeezed, or any combination of them. The main thing is that there is something in the chart that makes me think something is up.

Before I go posting the plays, let me throw out this last disclaimer to make the thread's purpose very clear.

-I am not recommending you buy anything!
-These are extremely high risk plays that I am in or looking to possibly play, if you should decide to play any of them solely because I do, understand the risks involved.
-Personally, I am playing these by buying small positions that I can afford to lose, and just holding them. If they blow up in a week, great, but there is no time limit on them and my intention is to just wait them out.
-If you choose to copycat me and then in a month complain that the stock hasn't done anything, then there was a communication problem here.
post #2 of 307
Thread Starter 
RVGD - This broke through some long term resistance on heavy volume, now it's pulling back on lighter volume. It's also worth noting that the price is now trading on top of the weekly 50 MA. At the moment the spread is .0003 x .0004.



BBDA - You can see that the price has been struggling to get above and stay above the 50 MA, but it's close to doing that now. If it can start trading above that, it should have more upward momentum and could be good for a run. Spread is currently .0004 x .0005



HRNF - Currently trading at .0004 x .0005 and the 50 MA is right near .0005. There were a couple volume spikes in the past 6 months and those are what's responsible for the price testing the 50.



MONA - Other than the daily 50 MA being on top of the 200 MA, I really like the fact that the price broke over the weekly 50 MA and has been testing it for support. As long as it holds, this could be the bottom for a while and the start of a longer term trend reversal.



IVIT - This has already made one strong move up, but now it's pulling back and consolidating. The price is trading above the weekly 50 MA and the angle of the 50 is sharply up. Current spread is .001 x .0011, though it's been bouncing around a bit.



PMDP - Similar to IVIT, this already made the first jump, now it's consolidating and pulling back some. If it can break that previous peak and resistance around .0015, then it's set to run hard. Spread is .001 x .0011.

post #3 of 307
My lotto ticket is CXAC right now. Thanks for the informative thread! I look forward to watching this.
post #4 of 307
Thanks for this simon, I'll be watching carefully.
post #5 of 307
Nice to you again Simon, thanks again.
post #6 of 307
Simon, what are your thoughts on BBAN, think it has some of the qualities you are looking for...
post #7 of 307
my lotto play this year is XDSL.ob and MDTL.pk and PMU
post #8 of 307
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by mpr View Post
My lotto ticket is CXAC right now. Thanks for the informative thread! I look forward to watching this.
CXAC caught my eye the other day too, it definitely fits the bill for what I'm talking about. I'd really like for it to come down and test the support in the .0002 - .0004 range, just to get an entry I'm more comfortable with.
post #9 of 307
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by theone View Post
Simon, what are your thoughts on BBAN, think it has some of the qualities you are looking for...
True, it does have a good amount of those characteristics I listed, but the main thing that I don't see is any significant volume that would lead me to believe that someone or something is soaking up shares and pushing the price higher. The most daily volume this stock has seen in a long time was about 10 million shares, which at these prices is not a lot.
post #10 of 307
BTW Simon, love the disclaimer!! I was thinking the same thing as I was reading it, LOL.
post #11 of 307
Super idea and thread Simon.By what paramaters do you intend to finally sell when a stock you are playing runs?Up by 50%,75%,100% or more? I will definately be following this thread daily.
post #12 of 307
In the past couple of months, I've sworn off of sub-pennies, but maybe I'll try the lotto small position technique again. Now that I have a better understanding of charts. And soem funds I can afford to leave sit for a while.

BTW, Simon, I've recently read all of your articles on your site http://chartta.com/

Excellent reading. You have a good knack for explaining things in a simplified way, making it easy to understand.
post #13 of 307
Simon,

I too have started watching 000 stocks again. I had a huge gain with CXAC a while back. I'm glad to see someone else is regaining interest.

Yes, they're crap shoots, but that's why I only throw in a few hundred into them. Duh.

I'll be keeping my eye on this thread for sure. Plus if any of your picks turn up in my stockfetcher results I'll let you know. I'm sure we screen for different stuff, so if we get a pick that both of us get in our results, then I'm sure it'll be a winner. Woo hoo!
post #14 of 307
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by grandaddy View Post
Super idea and thread Simon.By what paramaters do you intend to finally sell when a stock you are playing runs?Up by 50%,75%,100% or more? I will definately be following this thread daily.
I'm looking for much more from these plays than 50% - 100%. RVGD hit .0007 Friday and closed at .0006, which is a 50% - 75% gain right there from the asking price when I first posted it. In order for this to work, I'm going to need to play at least one or two of these for big gains, since I may have a low success rate with some large losses. It would be nice to get at least one 5 - 10 bagger, but I'll just try to take what they give. I don't believe in using arbitrary percent targets, I try to play each trade specifically based on it's chart and action.
post #15 of 307
Thread Starter 
Thanks for the compliment on the site and good luck.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Curt D View Post
In the past couple of months, I've sworn off of sub-pennies, but maybe I'll try the lotto small position technique again. Now that I have a better understanding of charts. And soem funds I can afford to leave sit for a while.

BTW, Simon, I've recently read all of your articles on your site http://chartta.com/

Excellent reading. You have a good knack for explaining things in a simplified way, making it easy to understand.
post #16 of 307
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by NoJobRob View Post
Simon,

I too have started watching 000 stocks again. I had a huge gain with CXAC a while back. I'm glad to see someone else is regaining interest.

Yes, they're crap shoots, but that's why I only throw in a few hundred into them. Duh.

I'll be keeping my eye on this thread for sure. Plus if any of your picks turn up in my stockfetcher results I'll let you know. I'm sure we screen for different stuff, so if we get a pick that both of us get in our results, then I'm sure it'll be a winner. Woo hoo!

Nice job on CXAC and I think it may have more upside to it. These types of breakout often play out in steps, and this one looks geared for step two at some point, though it may not be for a while and after a pullback. I'd probably pick some up if it came back and tested the .0002 - .0003 support.
post #17 of 307
Great thread Simon.
I always play some, so far I made some nice gains.
post #18 of 307
I found IDCN with stockfetcher, and I'm adding it to my watchlist.
post #19 of 307
Yeah man good job. I called IVIT a wile back. On another chat room. I seen it here too. I remeber MONA it was actauyl one of my short long holds pick a whiel back. Basicaly buy and wait..

stock-chart-str.aspx?id=MVBY&ca=24062939


i

is a wier one and


stock-chart-str.aspx?id=BHWF&ca=24062939



is another.


Glad you see it from another perspective. BHWF is a fun one to trade. Its OTC:BB but it flip flops and upwon DD os what it realy does it holsa a value for a hold of the flip.

stock-chart-str.aspx?id=MDTL&ca=24062939

is an OTC to Nasdaq pick someone mentioned it its a hold at this level.



Sorry to be a burdon On your site. Realy glad you see the .000X in a differnt perspective.
post #20 of 307
check out AGEL.. i have had a buy order at .0001 for almost 2 weeks now...
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