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If Israel attacks Iran, what will the price of oil go to?

post #1 of 21
Thread Starter 
And what time frame would we be looking at for it to reach this price?

I've heard some analysts say $200+.......

Saw an article from a year ago from NBC which had oil reaching $300-$400 if this happens


Thanks
post #2 of 21
through the god damn roof.
post #3 of 21
yeah it would go up. i would say about 85-90 minimum. if it happens i bet we get our azzes involved in the war with in 2 days. the smart thing to do would be let them blow eachother up but no we would take sides then completly destroy them. after that we would rebuild their cities for them and obviously we would make the new cities and buildings way better than their old ones. we should be out of there sometime in 2013
post #4 of 21
If Isreal launched a few missiles, maybe it would go up to $80-$85 in a few days

If Israel invaded on the ground, maybe $100 or more

If Israel took out Ahmedenijad, and pissed off their people enough to incite a war, "insert price here"

If Israel nuked Iran, price would at least double overnight.

If Israel nuked Iran and Iran actually has a nuke, and I were in Washington, I would drive west as far and fast as possible and not bother worrying about the price of oil.
post #5 of 21
^^^^ As in Iraq??? Maybe my DINAR and ISX investments will go up more someday-- SOOON!!!!!!!
post #6 of 21
If Israel Iran conflict took place....it would be very interesting to watch how the whole world would go into the shitter.....stockmarket/profits would be the last thing on my mind....trust me on that.
post #7 of 21
The price will go up to 104.52 over a 7.425 day timeframe.
post #8 of 21
more like the price will go over 100 on pure speculation of the attack.....****ing bs market
post #9 of 21
Quote:
Originally Posted by Amphibithen View Post
The price will go up to 104.52 over a 7.425 day timeframe.
[ ] measure twice cut once
[ ] sarcasm
[ ] illustrating the ridiculousness of the exercise
[x] all of the above
post #10 of 21

whatever

$1000 / oz.

post #11 of 21
...forget the price of oil...all investments(ie stock holdings)
would be hit hard, the final catalyst that would break
all the world's equity markets for a long time to come.

Cheers
post #12 of 21
I wonder what would happen to the TSX 60 if oil spiked but world equity markets tumbled
post #13 of 21
I think it's already priced in...

Actually, Iran has reached the point where a large amount of the crude it pumps it uses itself. I recall a seeing projection that in 5-10 years or so, it will have to import crude to meet its needs (Don't quote me on the number of years).
post #14 of 21
If Israel attacks Iran, it will be a NUKE war
post #15 of 21
WHAT WOULD MY TOTAL PORTFOLIO VALUE BE IF:

tomorrow I owned calls on the RIFIN, which goes down 3%, was short CAT which ends flat on the day and have short puts on the SPY which is up 1.5%?

And gas prices were up 5 cents in my area and I use premium and I'm almost out of gas?
post #16 of 21
Quote:
Originally Posted by usmccop View Post
I think it's already priced in...

Actually, Iran has reached the point where a large amount of the crude it pumps it uses itself. I recall a seeing projection that in 5-10 years or so, it will have to import crude to meet its needs (Don't quote me on the number of years).
on all accounts.
post #17 of 21
Hell?
post #18 of 21
lol wont happen. EVER. not now anyways when Iran will become a democracy. Israel will always have that seed in their heads. If it does become free then oil goes to shit! yay! If they are attacked it becomes outrageous..
post #19 of 21

Peres: Russia to reconsider missile sale to Iran

ok well now it has been a few weeks .. things have changed....

Peres: Russia to reconsider missile sale to Iran

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090819/...el_russia_iran
post #20 of 21
The Question is Will they ever attack? They CAN NOT attack by themselves without USA support and USA is not ready for another war at that region.

OIL will go through a roof over a night everything will come to stand still. My guess $ 250 within 24 hours.
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