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post #161 of 212
Yeah too many conflicting signals here, I saw those 12 calls, I think the Apr 15s also had some big volume on that day. As a side note, when it was over 15 last week and I mentioned big Mar 13 P volume, they were .95 x 1.00 and a week later stock is down 10% and those calls are already down to .65 x .75. So I don't know if that was a simple hedge or what, seems like a far OTM expensive hedge, or maybe just a sucker play on someone who fell for the dilution suspicion... weird stuff. That's just icing on my cake for being on the sidelines here... too murky. Thanks for the heads-up in REXX thread.
post #162 of 212
LNG reports earnings. Look at the last paragraph in bold. Next set of maturity notes are due in August. The writing is on the wall with your(Rando) point brought up last week on suspicion on another offering.
 
 
 
 
Energy Reports Fourth Quarter and YE 2011 Results
Last update: 2/24/2012 8:30:00 AM
HOUSTON, Feb. 24, 2012 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- For the quarter and year ended December 31, 2011, Cheniere Energy, Inc. ("Cheniere") (LNG) reported a net loss of $57.8 million, or $0.66 per share (basic and diluted), and $198.8 million, or $2.60 per share (basic and diluted), respectively, compared with a net loss of $86.1 million, or $1.51 per share (basic and diluted), and $76.2 million, or $1.37 per share (basic and diluted), respectively, for the same periods in 2010. Excluding a loss on early extinguishment of debt of $49.3 million in the quarter ended December 31, 2010, the net loss for the quarter would have been $36.8 million, or $0.64 per share (basic and diluted). Excluding a gain on the sale of equity method investment of $128.3 million and a loss on the early extinguishment of debt of $50.3 million, the net loss for the year ended December 31, 2010, would have been $154.2 million, or $2.77 per share (basic and diluted). Excluding the significant items for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2010, the increased net loss for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2011, is primarily due to increased development expenses and general and administrative expenses associated with the project being developed by one of our indirectly owned subsidiaries, Sabine Pass Liquefaction, LLC ("Sabine Liquefaction"), to add liquefaction capabilities at the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Louisiana (the "Liquefaction Project").
Results are reported on a consolidated basis and include our 88.8% ownership interest in Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. ("Cheniere Partners").
Overview of Significant Events
During 2011, Sabine Liquefaction made significant progress on the Liquefaction Project, including the following:
received an order from the U.S. Department of Energy ("DOE") with authorization to export domestically produced natural gas from the Sabine Pass LNG terminal as LNG to any country that has, or in the future develops, the capacity to import LNG and with which trade is permissible;
entered into a lump sum turnkey engineering, procurement and construction ("EPC") agreement with Bechtel Oil, Gas and Chemicals, Inc. ("Bechtel") for the first two LNG trains and related facilities at the Sabine Pass LNG terminal for a contract price of $3.9 billion, which is subject to adjustment by change order; and
sold an aggregate of approximately 10.5 million mtpa of LNG per year under three long-term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements ("SPAs") which commence upon the date of first commercial delivery for the applicable LNG train.
During 2011, we received approximately $468.4 million of net proceeds through equity issuances, including
approximately $123.1 million in June 2011 from the sale of 12.7 million shares of common stock in an underwritten public offering;
approximately $14.4 million during the fourth quarter from the sale of 1.5 million shares of common stock through an at-the-market program; and
approximately $330.9 million in December 2011 from the sale of 41.7 million shares of common stock in an underwritten public offering.
In January 2012, we used $298.0 million of the proceeds from the public offering of common stock in December 2011 to repay the 2007 Term Loan due in May 2012.
As of February 2012, Sabine Liquefaction has contracted additional volumes under SPAs and has now sold approximately 16.0 mtpa of LNG, or approximately 89% of the expected nameplate liquefaction volumes that will be available upon the completion of the liquefaction facilities. The fixed fee component for the SPAs equates to a range between $2.25 per million British thermal units ("MMBtu") and $3.00 per MMBtu and, in aggregate, the fixed fee component from all four SPAs totals approximately $2.3 billion annually.
2011 Results
Cheniere reported income from operations of $7.8 million and $58.1 million for the quarter and the year ended December 31, 2011, respectively, compared to income from operations of $26.5 million and $104.6 million for the comparable periods in 2010. The decreased income from operations in 2011 is primarily a result of costs incurred for the development of the Liquefaction Project. LNG terminal and pipeline development expenses increased $2.7 million and $28.8 million, respectively, for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2011, compared to the corresponding periods in 2010. General and administrative expenses increased $14.0 million and $19.8 million for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2011 from the comparable 2010 periods primarily due to increased labor costs from additional hiring, non-cash compensation expenses and increased variable compensation expenses. Included in general and administrative expenses were non-cash compensation expenses of $9.4 million and $24.4 million for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2011, respectively, compared to $3.9 million and $16.1 million, respectively, for the comparable 2010 periods.
As of December 31, 2011, we had unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $459.2 million available to Cheniere, which excludes cash and cash equivalents available to Cheniere Partners. In January 2012, we repaid our 2007 Term Loan which had a balance of $298.0 million.
Additionally, as of December 31, 2011, we had consolidated restricted cash and cash equivalents of approximately $185.1 million, including $4.3 million for Sabine Pass LNG, L.P.'s working capital, $77.1 million for Cheniere Partners' working capital, $96.1 million for interest payments related to Sabine Pass LNG, L.P.'s senior notes and $7.5 million for other restricted purposes.
Liquefaction Project Update
Sabine Liquefaction continues to make progress on the Liquefaction Project, which is being designed and permitted for up to four liquefaction trains, each with a nominal production capability of approximately 4.5 mtpa. Cheniere Partners anticipates LNG exports from the Sabine Pass LNG terminal could commence as early as 2015, with each liquefaction train commencing operations approximately six to nine months after the previous train.
Sabine Liquefaction is advancing towards making a final investment decision on the first two liquefaction trains, which is subject, but not limited, to obtaining regulatory approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC") and obtaining financing. Sabine Liquefaction estimates that the costs to construct the first two liquefaction trains will be approximately $4.5 billion to $5.0 billion, before financing costs. Sabine Liquefaction expects to finance the first two liquefaction trains with a combination of debt and equity. Construction of the first two liquefaction trains is expected to commence in the first half of 2012.
Commencement of construction for LNG trains 3 and 4 is subject, but not limited, to regulatory approvals, entering into an EPC agreement, obtaining financing and Sabine Liquefaction making a final investment decision. Sabine Liquefaction has engaged Bechtel to complete front-end engineering and design work and to negotiate a lump sum turnkey contract. Construction for liquefaction trains 3 and 4 is targeted for early 2013.
Summary Liquefaction Project Timeline
                                 Target DateMilestone                        Trains 1 & 2                                Trains 3 & 4-------------------------------- ------------------  ------------------DOE export authorization         Received                     ReceivedDefinitive commercial agreements Completed 7.7 mtpa  Completed 8.3 mtpaBG Gulf Coast LNG, LLC           4.2 mtpa                       1.3 mtpaGas Natural Fenosa               3.5 mtpaGAIL (India) Ltd.                                    3.5 mtpaKOGAS                                                3.5 mtpaEPC Contract                     Complete                                 4Q12Financing commitments            1Q12                            1Q13FERC construction authorization  1H12                  1H12Commence construction            2012                            2013Commence operations              2015/2016                         2017/2018
2012 Outlook
Our strategy is to continue developing the Liquefaction Project as discussed above and to continue restructuring and optimizing our finances and capital structure. The next maturity on our indebtedness is in August 2012, which we will address following completion of the financing for the first two liquefaction trains. Options for addressing the maturity include refinancing our existing indebtedness, issuing equity or other securities, selling assets, or a combination of the foregoing.
post #163 of 212
Wow 8K filed with $2B coming in to LNG, no time to research the source documentation, came up in my Twitter feed. Really glad we noticed those calls going through last week, any shorts here would have been speared in the head. Time to restart that short watch effort, but make sure we all know what is coming in as far as investor $.

ED: Dang... Blackstone. Wow... http://www.benzinga.com/news/12/02/2374811/cheniere-energy-spiking-higher-on-2b-blackstone-investment
Edited by rando - 2/27/12 at 9:26am
post #164 of 212

Yeah,I heard of the 2B D dollar deal this morning on CNBC. This is one dangerous stock to short. Any good news that comes along,LNG flies. Theres a nice gap to fill on todays action,but,I will pass. wink.gif

post #165 of 212
Another 52 week high this thing is a monster. Had I been watching its fall dip (Crash???) I would own a bigger house by now. Sigh. They have to be diluting this sometime soon, but I remember seeing some puts at outrageous prices a few weeks back, those are basically zero now. Not sure if it will be possible to catch a short on this at the right (any safe) time.
post #166 of 212
LNG today announced upsizing of previously announced offering from 17 to 21 MM shares, priced it at 15.10. Stock reacting quite well on historic volume. Probably lots of eager longs getting in now that cost certainty on the offering has been achieved.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cheniere-announces-upsizing-and-pricing-of-public-offering-of-common-stock-2012-03-14
post #167 of 212

You mentioned dilution a month or so ago.That did not take long to materialize. There is a gap to fill at 14.30. I imagine that may fill soon as daily bars show a rounding pattern. Would also love to see this come into the 13.0 region sometime late this season too. That may be a pipe dream,but,one can dream,can they not?  :-)

post #168 of 212
Pipe dream, haha, good wordplay... they are referring to LNG's Sabine Pass project as "the new Keystone." For anyone who wants a long term position in LNG, just start buying in 1.00 increments, 14.75, 13.75, whatever floats your boat. This one is tougher to time for the short term moves... what a great story they have going. I think there is a risk of another leg up before it even retraces into the 13s, but we shall see. A market correction should help buyers looking for better prices.
post #169 of 212

Yeah,it's some story for sure. I cannot believe this was a $3 stock 15 months ago. Rando,what about that gap fill on 10/25/11 all the way down to 6.41?  That seems soooooooo  far away from where we are now. I am in no way insinuating that it fills any time soon,but, have you ever seen a gap that was not filled?  I would imaging that it would take a really nasty correction and/or horrible news from LNG directly to get there.

post #170 of 212

The U.S. is now on the cusp of becoming the world's largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, surpassing leading LNG exporters Qatar and Australia by 2017. How's that?

 

After receiving a license from the Department of Energy back in May 2011, Cheniere Energy's (LNG -1.07%) Sabine Pass LNG export facility last Tuesday cleared the final stages of government approval -- surviving a backlash from anti-fracking advocates that had threatened to turn Sabine into a political football, much like the Keystone XL pipeline.

 

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission OK'd the construction of Cheniere's $10 billion terminal in Cameron Parish, La. The facility, which will chill natural gas down to -260 °F and convert it to a liquid that can be shipped via tankers, opens up the potential for U.S. producers to export natural gas overseas for huge profits.

 

Construction is expected to begin this year, with partial operations coming online between 2015 and 2016. Cheniere, through its Cheniere Energy Partners (CQP +3.29%) subsidiary, has lined up $4 billion in loans to help pay for the project. That includes a $2 billion commitment from private equity firm Blackstone (BX -3.73%).

 

http://money.msn.com/top-stocks/post.aspx?post=1203e332-d757-40c0-97cb-ce176498c7ac

 

 

I got into LNG just recently at 15.25, and in my opinion has lots of room to grow right now. I was reluctant to get into LNG all together (as in liquid natural gas) because I worked as a merchant mariner for a few months on an LNG carrier, and we did not make 1 delivery for the 3 months I was aboard back in 2009. I was a huge believer that this was gonna take off, but completely second guessed myself after I saw the LNG world obviously not gainfully employed. Things might be changing.

 

Well, looks like it's getting a lot of attention now, even claims that it could make huge headway in our nation's debt. I wouldn't be surprised to see a substantial price pop when word gets out about the terminal construction beginning.

post #171 of 212

http://www.thestreet.com/story/11509568/1/the-coming-energy-boom.html?cm_ven=GOOGLEN

 

^ Great breakdown of companies you can consider to spread your risk out if you decide to load up for a possible break out of natural gas companies and services.
 

post #172 of 212

LNG to sell 31 million shares at $15.10.

 

 

 

lng.JPG

post #173 of 212

Looks like this is going to fil the gap from april 12th at 15.96 which was one penny shy of hitting that today.

post #174 of 212
post #175 of 212

In this for the long haul but dam this got beat up this month.

post #176 of 212
Down even more, big time volume and selling today, but a very nice snapback to close above the daily 200 SMA. Attractive at this valuation. Any big news out? Has this been hit in part due to the crude pipeline to Cushing being reversed to flow to refineries to prepare gasoline for export?
post #177 of 212

Cheniere Energy Will Have A Temporary Monopoly On U.S. Natural Gas Exports

 

Cheniere Energy (LNG) has a great head start to become the first natural gas exporter in the United States. The company has everything in place with the majority of the permits and financing, now it has a clear trajectory to completing the building of its export facilities. While Cheniere bears have their valid points, the recent pullback of LNG may have created a buying opportunity.

 

http://seekingalpha.com/article/638851

 

 

This sounds as if LNG has a long way to run up.

post #178 of 212

LNG ROCKS!!! Put this one on your streamers and catch up on the news.

 

GO LNG GO!!! lol

post #179 of 212

Sell around $13+ if you can get it.

That seems to be the trend as of late.

post #180 of 212

Cheniere Energy Started At Equalweight By Barclays >LNG

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