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Simon's (and everyone's) Breakout Thread II - Page 186

post #3701 of 3831
Simon is brilliant.
post #3702 of 3831
Quote:
Originally Posted by YoureReadingMyName View Post
Simon is brilliant.
Couldn't agree more.
post #3703 of 3831
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by michael51 View Post
You hit it right on. I fully believe it is due to the market. Simon said a while ago that you cannot force bullish breakout plays in a crappy market. To be honest I'm suprised he is still playing a lot of them and sticking with the breakout strategy in these times. You are correct the majority of the plays the past few weeks haven't done crap. Unfortunately times were much better last year
A crappy broad market won't necessarily keep pennies from running, but either way you have to be aware when the pennies aren't panning out well. I've definitely had a string of piss poor performers on some nice setups, and yes I was actually getting ready to post that I think it's time to take it easy on these plays, go more conservative, start scalping them, etc. I'm giving them too much wiggle room and right now it's burning me, so I gotta stop touching that flame. I am not ready to throw in the towel though, but I am going to be more cautious here, probably start scanning for different setups. Not really sure how I'm going to go at it here, time to do some brainstorming.
post #3704 of 3831
Thread Starter 
BTW, I am not ready to get fully bearish yet on the broad markets. Despite how close we are to teetering over the edge, I think that big money still hasn't sold out yet and that retail traders are overly bearish. Not that they should be bullish on the general outlook, but those conditions I described are the fuel for a rally, not a crash. I'm very, very tentatively bullish for the summer in general, and this weakness/selling I think will be a final shake before we see some multi week/month rallying.

Big picture though, very bearish, just had to throw that out there as not to lead people to believe that I'm recommending investing in US markets.
post #3705 of 3831
Quote:
Originally Posted by simonyadig View Post
A crappy broad market won't necessarily keep pennies from running, but either way you have to be aware when the pennies aren't panning out well. I've definitely had a string of piss poor performers on some nice setups, and yes I was actually getting ready to post that I think it's time to take it easy on these plays, go more conservative, start scalping them, etc. I'm giving them too much wiggle room and right now it's burning me, so I gotta stop touching that flame. I am not ready to throw in the towel though, but I am going to be more cautious here, probably start scanning for different setups. Not really sure how I'm going to go at it here, time to do some brainstorming.
Even though HMIT was consolidating, if you looked at the chart a little deeper, there were people .001-.0012 just waiting to sell to us. I kind of ignored it because of how at a quick glance it looked like a consolidation on the verge of a break out .....and then as you said, because of the market conditions people are scalping momo like crazy.
post #3706 of 3831
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rock Sexton View Post
Even though HMIT was consolidating, if you looked at the chart a little deeper, their were people .001-.0012 just waiting to sell to us.
True, I thought that it was going to be able to catch another wave and go into the power zone, but the more conservative approach would have been to wait for the action to tighten up a lot more. Sometimes that works, other times you miss the boat. I chose to take this attempt, and it did not work.
post #3707 of 3831
Quote:
Originally Posted by simonyadig View Post
True, I thought that it was going to be able to catch another wave and go into the power zone, but the more conservative approach would have been to wait for the action to tighten up a lot more. Sometimes that works, other times you miss the boat. I chose to take this attempt, and it did not work.
I'm right there with you. I bought at .002 .... didn't feel right, but did it anyways.
post #3708 of 3831
Thread Starter 
ZAAP is looking promising atm.
post #3709 of 3831
Thread Starter 
NNLX is trying to breakout of a three month triangle, which was sitting on top of old major resistance. This is one of those setups that's been solid for a long time, but longer term setups by nature will take longer to play out.
post #3710 of 3831
Looks like LSCG might be attempting to breakout.

post #3711 of 3831
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by simonyadig View Post
ZAAP is looking promising atm.
Testing .40 resistance w/ heavy volume.

stock-chart-str.aspx?id=zaap&ca=24062939
post #3712 of 3831
Thread Starter 
ZAAP's chart

The .40 resistance is being heavily defended by the sellers and the market environment hasn't been very favorable to breakouts lately, but when/if this very critical resistance get's broken, it could be a nice runner all the same.

Red line is the 6 month high water mark as well as a trigger line for a bullish head and shoulders. Lot's of battling going on here, I thought the bulls had it broken earlier, but the bears knocked down the attempt.
post #3713 of 3831
ZAAP is breaking out
post #3714 of 3831
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by simonyadig View Post
ZAAP is looking promising atm.
Quote:
Originally Posted by simonyadig View Post
NNLX is trying to breakout of a three month triangle, which was sitting on top of old major resistance. This is one of those setups that's been solid for a long time, but longer term setups by nature will take longer to play out.

So far, so good for these two.
post #3715 of 3831
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by simonyadig View Post
My favorite of the bunch right now are HMIT and HSCC.
HSCC is one to watch today and the coming days. It's wound up super tight, has consolidated the April gains beautifully, and is hanging out right near resistance. I can see this one running today or in the upcoming days, either way it's looking pretty primed and ready, imo.

post #3716 of 3831
I like it^
post #3717 of 3831
Thread Starter 
AMSZ - Not a breakout play in the major uptrend/ blue sky runner sense, but it's still a nice looking setup to me.



Blue area looks like a small bottoming inverse H&S pattern, after that came a high volume rally past resistance of the H&S trigger line and the 50 MA, and the green area highlights the post rally consolidation on top of new support. I'm looking for action if/when it breaks up out of the green zone.
post #3718 of 3831
ZAAP breaking out +11%... Great call Simon
post #3719 of 3831
Thread Starter 

recent stocks I had on watch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Golyk1 View Post
ZAAP breaking out +11%... Great call Simon
Thank you. ZAAP's up another 15% today, it looks like breakouts aren't totally finished yet, I'm still hoping we're going to see some nice runners this summer.

ZAAP breakout beautifully, NNLX is holding above the breakout point in the upper .70s, and HSCC is farting around but it's still right below a major breakout point in the upper .04s. AMSZ didn't break resistance on the test of it at the time of my last post on it, but it's still holding support of the flag. I'd put the current breakout resistance right at the last swing high, which is .007.

Anyone of those last 3 could still end up being big runners, and ZAAP has already panned out nicely and doesn't look like it's topping yet.
post #3720 of 3831
Do you still like NNLX here Simon?
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