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Option Plays - Page 10

post #181 of 13582
5/27/07 at 1:23pm
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arthur626
Picked up the BMCGG calls at .28 Strike 35.00 on BMC. Bought STOGF Calls for .55 strike 30.00 on STO. Trying to get more STOGF at .50

Both stocks did well on Friday. BMC had a nice 4% increase.

I think you might have want to give yourself a bit more time in the options even if there just a quick swing play becuase right now the price on those calls are decaying pretty fast. Time is not on your side.

Both stocks look good.

With a built in crude oil inventory over the summer all the refiners are sure to experince higher demand as a result which obviously translates to higher revenues for them. STO being a refiner in Norway where gasoline is much higher than in the U.S on average is going to make more revenues as a result. Not only that but their revenues are in euros while their expenses are in dollars becuase they buy most of thweir equipment from the U.S thus creating a favorable balance of trade.

BMC looks good to. They have one of their main headquarterss right next to my house and its amazing.

They have been buying shares back which is a big bullish sign. Their main competition CA is just a mess from a finanancial standpoint with all of their accounting irregularities. They've been selling buildings in order to finance their prime business model. This will obviouslyy allow BMC to gain a lot of market share in the software industry.

I like the companies but be sure to give yourself a bit more time in those plays.
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post #182 of 13582
5/27/07 at 2:49pm

Some options I like !!! $$$

I cut and pasted this from another site I am member of, sorry for the "Smugness', I was directing it at someone who told me I was crazy !!!!lol

Posted by: energymanNJ
In reply to: None Date:5/26/2007 4:45:52 PM
Post #of 86889

(ASN)..ArchstoneSmith Trust >>> TOLD YA SO !!! lol $$$$
ASN Last: 55.23 Change: +4.10(+8.02%) Volume: 12.81 m Last Trade: 5/25/07

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/m...SearchID=86893

Rumor has it Privet equity is buying us out(ASN) !!!
I might get more for my options then thought originally....

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drm...556313,00.html

Tishman Speyer Properties LP of New York may be in talks with Archstone-Smith

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/b...?board_id=9035

Watch out >(ALRY) I am buying more of you, with the cash on Tuesday and Wednesday !!!!! And if(FCEL) reports anything stunning (like $200,000,000 approved deal), on the 5th of June, during their conference call.......lol lol And come off w/ some nice scratch there also !$!$!$
--------------------------------
Posted by: energymanNJ
In reply to: energymanNJ who wrote msg# 1 Date:4/20/2007 7:23:04 PM
Post #of 2

This company is in the real estate buissness mostly. They are expected to report some decent numbers. My interest in it is a good option play for the June/$55 CALLS going into the earnings !!! I have 50 contracts @ avg of $1.35 over this past week !

I think the stock will rally in the coming weeks up till earnings date, and up some more a tad after that ! I would like to get $4.85+, when I cut loose my CALLS !!!

I sold these, and re bought them twice since this post with nice proffits.... I now hold 75=@ASNFK June Calls /$55 strike /@1.15 avg. And I picked up some July's 14=@ASNGK $55 strike / 1.35 Avg.
------------------------------------
Posted by: energymanNJ
In reply to: None Date:4/20/2007 7:14:59 PM
Post #of 2

ASN -- Archstone-Smith Trust : Is going to report earning the 9th of May !!!

FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT

ITEM 8.01 OTHER EVENTS

R. Scot Sellers, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Archstone-Smith Trust (“ASN”), was quoted in a wire story released by Market News International on April 16, 2007. The article suggests that Mr. Sellers provided information about ASN’s financial results for the first quarter of 2007. In fact, Mr. Sellers was referring to our guidance for 2007, which was provided in our press release and on our earnings conference call held on February 1, 2007. He did not comment on ASN’s actual results for the first quarter of 2007. Actual financial results for the first quarter of 2007 will be disclosed in our earnings press release, which is scheduled for May 9, 2007

http://www.pinksheets.com/quote/prin...134%252D07....
--------------------------------------------
Posted by: lowtrade
In reply to: energymanNJ who wrote msg# 6171 Date: 4/25/2007 3:27:53 PM
Post #

energymanNJ
ASN

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ASN...d=p90633317065

When I look at a vanilla chart & TA indicators, I see vanilla projected.

Playing earnings guessing is for others, not me.

I'd have to know the company, to have an educated guess, as to how the retail shareholders see the company future. I don't.

Sorry, no guess.
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post #183 of 13582
5/27/07 at 3:03pm

FCEL-FuelCell Energy Inc./@FQGAA 5.00

FCEL-FuelCell Energy Inc.
I got plenty to say about these guys...Where do ya want me to start?
-------------------------
http://www.stockwire.com/component/o...d,22/id,18710/


EnergymanNJ
Member

http://www.************.com/big-boar...-tomorrow.html

Join Date: May 2007
Location: South New jersey
Posts: 51
FCEL-FuelCell Energy Inc. > Jan 08' options start tomorrow !

------------

January 2008 start trading tomarow. They(FCEL) have 2Q-earrings coming up first week of June. Also waiting on big State of Connecticut News in the same week... if you can get the $5 calls for a $1 in Jan 08" < that is a great play...IMO

.............stk.....last....bid.....ask
@FQGAA 5.00 1.05 0.95 1.10

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/q... -------------

EnergymanNJ
Member


Join Date: May 2007
Location: South New jersey
Posts: 51
FCEL Last: 7.04 Change: +0.26(+3.83%) Volume: 1.62 m Last Trade: 5/22/07
--------------------------------------
when I said to buy these $$$
.............stk.....last....bid.....ask
@FQGAA 5.00 1.05 0.95 1.10
--------------------------------------
This is today >@FQGAA 5.00 last>2.47 change+1.42 lol lol lol
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post #184 of 13582
5/27/07 at 3:06pm
Thread Starter 
Very nice.

ASN was a good trade.

Talking about takeover rumors take a look at CLF.

Volume was humongous on Friday despite the overall low market volume.

Rumors is that RIO might buy CLF for $92 or so representing a $14 premium.

The stock got volume near 3X its average volume and there was heavy call buying on the Jun and Jul calls. A lot of OM buying.

Most mergers and acquisitions occur on Monday and Tuesday and this deal could very well be completed by then. The deal in my eyes will be completed fairly soon.

I really do think that RIO will buy CLF especially becuase CLF gives RIO another source of revenue which is the Iron ore industry(secodn class metal).

CLF has a surplus of cash flow and RIO could use to finance some of their current projects.
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post #185 of 13582
5/27/07 at 3:08pm
Thread Starter 
If the deal is not completed by this Tuesday I'm thinking of picking some JUl calls. Premium is a bit rich but once the deal is completed all of those JUL calls could be worth a lot.
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post #186 of 13582
5/27/07 at 3:11pm
Thread Starter 
Another stock has experienced heavy call buying both in the Jun and JUl contracts is BIIB.

Looks like some Private equities are thinking of buying a lot of shares.
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post #187 of 13582
5/27/07 at 6:00pm

Check out heavy PUTs action on (MER)Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc.

Rumor has it, a executive resigned four days ago and they are just releasing it public now(friday)........

June Put> 90.00 @MERRR 1.30< last /9613<vol /open> 5301




http://www.investorshub.com/boards/q...&qm_symbol=MER
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post #188 of 13582
5/27/07 at 6:05pm

How about (PWEI) waiting on JMM takeover?

Biggest PVC pipe and fitting producer...



http://www.investorshub.com/boards/q...qm_symbol=PWEI

Option Chain for PW Eagle Inc.

PWEI Last: 32.18 Change: +0.40(+1.26%) Volume: 99.89 k Last Trade: 5/25/07

Option Filter: Composite AOE BOX CBOE ISE PAO PHO MOE All All Call Put At the Money In the Money Out of the Money All Most Actives Help
Options symbols are broken down as follows:

MSQ A Q Z

MSQ = root symbol

A = call/put code for that month

Q = strike price code


Z = exchange

J = AOE (American Options Exchange)
N = BOE (Boston Options Exchange)
Q = CBOE (Chicago Board of Options Exchange)
U = ISE (International Stock Exchange)
Y = PAO (Pacific Options Exchange)
K = PHO (Philadelphia Options Exchange)
M = MOE (Montreal Options Exchange)


@MSQ = Composite

@MSQ-Q = Regional


= options that are "in the money"


Close
May 07 | Jun 07 | Jul 07 | Sep 07 | Dec 07 | All

Calls Last Chg Vol Open Int Strike Puts Last Chg Vol Open Int
May 2007
@UULEF 2.40 0 42 30.00 @UULQF 0.05 0 119
@UULEG 0.10 0 1 35.00 @UULQG 2.10 0 2
@UULEH 0.25 0 0 40.00 @UULQH 8.10 0 0
June 2007
@UULFX 11.00 0 1 22.50 @UULRX 0.05 0 30
@UULFE 7.10 0 74 25.00 @UULRE 0.10 0 5913
@UULFF 2.30 0 598 30.00 @UULRF 0.15 0 1058
@UULFG 0.05 0 5297 35.00 @UULRG 3.10 0 4679
@UULFH 0.05 0 1548 40.00 @UULRH 8.00 0 19722
@UULFI 0.05 0 135 45.00 @UULRI 12.60 0 0
July 2007
@UULGE 0 0 25.00 @UULSE 0 0
@UULGF 0 0 30.00 @UULSF 0 0
@UULGG 0 0 35.00 @UULSG 0 0
September 2007
@UULIF 2.40 0 727 30.00 @UULUF 0.55 0 1244
@UULIG 0.25 0 370 35.00 @UULUG 2.70 0 105
@UULIH 0.25 0 0 40.00 @UULUH 0 0
December 2007
@UULLF 2.50 0 300 30.00 @UULXF 0.60 0 93
@UULLG 0.35 -0.30 10 100 35.00 @UULXG 2.70 0 2
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post #189 of 13582
5/27/07 at 6:10pm

CLE last filling >> I wonder if this is relevant?

CLE last filling >http://app.quotemedia.com/quotetools...%3D1&type=TEXT

Item 8.01 Other Events.

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc published a news release dated May 24, 2007 as follows:

Cleveland-Cliffs Announces Adjustment to Preferred Stock Conversion Rate

Cleveland, OH—May 24, 2007—Cleveland-Cliffs Inc (NYSE: CLF) today announced the conversion rate of its 3.25% redeemable cumulative convertible perpetual preferred stock has been adjusted to 66.1881 common shares per share of preferred stock, effective May 21, 2007. The new conversion rate equates to a conversion price of $15.11 per common share.

The preferred stock’s conversion rate is subject to adjustment in certain circumstances, including payment of cash dividends to holders of Cliffs’ common stock. As a result of the $0.125 per share common dividend being paid on June 1, 2007, the conversion rate adjustment being announced today was triggered.

As previously announced, due to the satisfaction of a condition to the conversion right of the holders of the preferred stock, it may be surrendered for conversion at any time during the fiscal quarter ending June 30, 2007.

To be added to Cleveland-Cliffs’ e-mail distribution list, please click on the link below:
http://www.cpg-llc.com/clearsite/clf/emailoptin.html

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc, headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, is the largest producer of iron ore pellets in North America and sells the majority of its pellets to integrated steel companies in the United States and Canada. Cleveland-Cliffs Inc operates a total of six iron ore mines located in Michigan, Minnesota and Eastern Canada. The Company owns 80 percent of Portman Limited, a large iron ore mining company in Australia, serving the Asian iron ore markets with direct-shipping fines and lump ore. It also has a 30 percent interest in the Amapá Project, a Brazilian iron ore project, and a 45 percent economic interest in the Sonoma Project, an Australian coking and thermal coal project.

News releases and other information on the company are available on the Internet at:
http://www.cleveland-cliffs.com
SOURCE: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
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post #190 of 13582
5/27/07 at 6:28pm
Thread Starter 
Very intresting speculation on MER and PWEI.

Two other stocks that have seen a huge increase in call volume is MNST and GPN.

MNST has been experiencing a lot of IM and OM buying in both the months of JUN and JUL.

GPN has tons of call buying occuring OM in jine.

Rumor has it that GPN could be bought out by FIS.
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post #191 of 13582
5/27/07 at 11:43pm
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigbull
Both stocks did well on Friday. BMC had a nice 4% increase.

I think you might have want to give yourself a bit more time in the options even if there just a quick swing play becuase right now the price on those calls are decaying pretty fast. Time is not on your side.

Both stocks look good.

With a built in crude oil inventory over the summer all the refiners are sure to experince higher demand as a result which obviously translates to higher revenues for them. STO being a refiner in Norway where gasoline is much higher than in the U.S on average is going to make more revenues as a result. Not only that but their revenues are in euros while their expenses are in dollars becuase they buy most of thweir equipment from the U.S thus creating a favorable balance of trade.

BMC looks good to. They have one of their main headquarterss right next to my house and its amazing.

They have been buying shares back which is a big bullish sign. Their main competition CA is just a mess from a finanancial standpoint with all of their accounting irregularities. They've been selling buildings in order to finance their prime business model. This will obviouslyy allow BMC to gain a lot of market share in the software industry.

I like the companies but be sure to give yourself a bit more time in those plays.
Hey Bigbull =) I just bought these options as earnings plays for the upcoming week.... Thats why the short term on the calls. I plan on selling those calls this coming week after earnings reports. Your right though they may both be good long term investments but that isn't what I was going for. Wish me luck this week!!
Good to see a new face here Energyman!! Keep your ideas coming....
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post #192 of 13582
5/28/07 at 3:10am

I think you made a new option buddy >bigbull..lol

I think you made a new option buddy >bigbull..lol

also I feel Rio will buy Alcan....first before CLE.......
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post #193 of 13582
5/28/07 at 3:39am
Quote:
Originally Posted by EnergymanNJ
I think you made a new option buddy >bigbull..lol

also I feel Rio will buy Alcan....first before CLE.......
Energy, you were on Ihub werent you?
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post #194 of 13582
5/28/07 at 3:41am
Quote:
Originally Posted by Arthur626
Hey Bigbull =) I just bought these options as earnings plays for the upcoming week.... Thats why the short term on the calls. I plan on selling those calls this coming week after earnings reports. Your right though they may both be good long term investments but that isn't what I was going for. Wish me luck this week!!
Good to see a new face here Energyman!! Keep your ideas coming....
Your buying options for an earnings play? Hahaha good luck.
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post #195 of 13582
5/28/07 at 5:46am
I am in the June $25 calls for WCI. Icahn's bid for the company at 22.50 expired but I have heard rumors that it could fetch $30 per share, the company I heard could make a bid is NVR corp that trades on the amex. Its shares have doubled in the last year to over $800/share. Purely speculative thats for sure. The 22.50 calls for June have had abnormally high volume the last few days so we will see what happens.
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post #196 of 13582
5/28/07 at 6:15am
Quote:
Originally Posted by wallst.neil
Your buying options for an earnings play? Hahaha good luck.
Actually the BMC options are already up from .28 to .50 not a bad gain!! They report Tuesday after close if it goes up much higher will probably take my 100% plus profit out before earnings release!! Just curious wallst.neil why do you think option plays on earnings is a bad idea? Usually about a week up until the release most options go up in anticipation. Seems like easy money to me....
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post #197 of 13582
5/28/07 at 1:33pm
Thread Starter 
Smart thing to do Arthur. with a 100%+ gain already it would be best to take profits. You can secure a hefty gain and not risk it on earnings.

EnergymanNJ RIO could very well buy AL but they will obviously have to bid for them at a much higher premium than AA did. Just judging from the increase in option activity I think CLF could be next for RIO to buy.

Leebert. Looks like a good specualitive play. Hopefully it will pay out.
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post #198 of 13582
5/28/07 at 1:47pm
Thread Starter 
Another stock that has experienced a surplus in option activity is MXIM.

The JUN, JUL and AUG calls have been very active of late. A lot of call buying in both IM and OM. People are not going either to deep IM or OM.

Here is arecap of the stock to watch for:
BIIB
CLF
GPN
FCEL
MXIM
PWEI
MER

I'm thinking of buying some CLF calls if the deal is not completed by Monday. Out of this bunch this one has the best chance of getting bought out.

Once again I'm mostly sitting in cash(71%) and have other (3) positions open.
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post #199 of 13582
5/28/07 at 11:10pm

I still am...lol

Quote:
Originally Posted by wallst.neil
Energy, you were on Ihub werent you?
I-Hub is My home base so to speak,,,,,They HATE me there <<< that is Why I love it there so much.....lol

http://www.investorshub.com/boards/p...asp?User=86893
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post #200 of 13582
5/28/07 at 11:19pm

I think Ford(F) will see some new areas tomorrow

I think Ford(F) will see some new areas tomorrow...On potential sale of Volvo to BMW.....maybe?????????????

June calls.....

(9.00 strike) @FFL 0.10 <last /546 <vol / 41597 <open/

(8.00 strike) @FFK 0.55 <last / 467 <vol / 29388
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