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Originally Posted by rossiTK
03:33 ET Fed's Poole says sees equal chance of a Fed rate hike or a rate cut - Reuters
hmmmm.........
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We are really at an interesting time for the fed. One one hand, we have the wild card oil. Oil looks to be headed downward, but OPEC could always step in at any time. Also, grains will hold the commoditity index up, which may help oil stay up.
On the other hand, we have an economy which is most likely reaching the end of an expansion phase, with a slowing housing market most likely to slow the whole economy.
If oil goes up, we raise rates. If housing slows too much and the economy halts, we slash rates. Hopefully we don't see both of these happen together, or we are in a mess. At the time things look rosey, but we will see how long that lasts.
IMO Poole was the only one right and they should have raised .25 more in July to really stick a dagger in the markets but save us later on...