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post #131961 of 136697

Would be nice if the US helped us by paying off our debts once in a while as well then our economy would improve but instead they just helped the banks out. In the UAE they pretty much give money to their own people while in the US they pretty much try and make their people fork out more and more taxes.

 

http://www.arabianbusiness.com/uae-unveils-2-7bn-fund-pay-debts-of-poor-432831.html

 

I'm sure the people would have more money to invest if the government helped out once in a while.

post #131962 of 136697

I don`t know what affect if any this will have but we`ll seebiggrin.gif

 Bloomberg:

Merkel Shuns ECB Role in Favor of Budget Limits

post #131963 of 136697

Just looking at the 30-min scale here and noticing that the gap-ups in either direction happened consistently on the bollinger band squeezes the last week or so.  Might be helpful for finding which days will gap or not.  Anyone else see this? I don't usually pay attention to bollingers so I'm not sure if this is useful.

 

20111201SPY2.gif

post #131964 of 136697

Not that bulls can declare victory just yet. Initial jobless claims released this morning spiked by 6,000 to 402,000 in total for the week ending Nov. 26. This bumps the 4-week average up 500 to 395,750. And tomorrow is the big daddy of all data in the form of the monthly Employment report.

At the risk of White's ticker, most signs point toward a decent or even strong number tomorrow. But a miss will restart the debate: Is the U.S. economy improving or pausing it's trip into a deep recession?

 

White says Wednesday's 4%+ rally hasn't changed the potential for volatility in the form of either a violent retracement or a rip roaring rally.

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/december-rally-market-weighs-jobs-data-142332508.html?l=1

post #131965 of 136697

Per DR J...

 

Most Active ETF Options: Index and ETF option volume remains relatively strong, but the tone is more bearish as ...

 

 

Index and ETF option volume remains relatively strong, but the tone is more bearish as this week's rally takes a pause, optionMONSTER's data systems show.

 

The SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY) tops the action with 1.25 million contracts. The SPDR Financial Fund (XLF) takes second place with 425,000 options as puts outpace calls by more than 3 to 1. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is next up with 338,000 contracts, 246,000 of which are puts.

 

The iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund (IWM) has 153,000 options traded, also with a 2-1 put/call ratio. Just behind are the PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) options, at 143,000. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) contracts have changed hands 128,000 times as puts outpace calls by a bearish 3 to 1.

 

The SPDR Industrial Fund (XLI) sees 100,000 contracts turning over, 93,000 of which are puts. and the iShares Emerging Markets Fund (EEM) is also at the 100,000 mark. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Fund (XOP) has 64,000 options traded, only 800 of which are calls.
post #131966 of 136697


If this holds, we should see some stronger movement (preferably to the upside for me tongue.gif ) coming soon.. *fingers crossed*

 

Edit: On second thought it doesn't look like it's actually had any effect mid-day, so I'm thinking another straddle for overnight.  Probably works better this way.

Quote:
Originally Posted by pftq View Post

Just looking at the 30-min scale here and noticing that the gap-ups in either direction happened consistently on the bollinger band squeezes the last week or so.  Might be helpful for finding which days will gap or not.  Anyone else see this? I don't usually pay attention to bollingers so I'm not sure if this is useful.

 

20111201SPY2.gif



 

post #131967 of 136697

I love how everyone is sooo happy with jobs data that is just barely good enough to keep our heads about water... but considering we are 15 billion underwater this anemic job creation does nothing for the economy.  Not to mention we are still showing anemic numbers going into the seasonal hiring boom... the US is treading water best case scenario... and with growth still being downgrading all around the world... our days are numbered.  Ignoring that reality is pure insanity. 
 

Quote:
Originally Posted by BobK View Post

Not that bulls can declare victory just yet. Initial jobless claims released this morning spiked by 6,000 to 402,000 in total for the week ending Nov. 26. This bumps the 4-week average up 500 to 395,750. And tomorrow is the big daddy of all data in the form of the monthly Employment report.

At the risk of White's ticker, most signs point toward a decent or even strong number tomorrow. But a miss will restart the debate: Is the U.S. economy improving or pausing it's trip into a deep recession?

 

White says Wednesday's 4%+ rally hasn't changed the potential for volatility in the form of either a violent retracement or a rip roaring rally.

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/december-rally-market-weighs-jobs-data-142332508.html?l=1



 

post #131968 of 136697
Quote:
Originally Posted by Davecash77 View Post

Per DR J...

 

Most Active ETF Options: Index and ETF option volume remains relatively strong, but the tone is more bearish as ...

 

 

Index and ETF option volume remains relatively strong, but the tone is more bearish as this week's rally takes a pause, optionMONSTER's data systems show.

 

The SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY) tops the action with 1.25 million contracts. The SPDR Financial Fund (XLF) takes second place with 425,000 options as puts outpace calls by more than 3 to 1. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is next up with 338,000 contracts, 246,000 of which are puts.

 

The iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund (IWM) has 153,000 options traded, also with a 2-1 put/call ratio. Just behind are the PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) options, at 143,000. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) contracts have changed hands 128,000 times as puts outpace calls by a bearish 3 to 1.

 

The SPDR Industrial Fund (XLI) sees 100,000 contracts turning over, 93,000 of which are puts. and the iShares Emerging Markets Fund (EEM) is also at the 100,000 mark. The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Fund (XOP) has 64,000 options traded, only 800 of which are calls.



Tells me that way tooo many people are bearish and short for us to crash. Not everyone can make money at once, god forbid the market to be logical and everyone on the same page LOL

post #131969 of 136697

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by hermanpu View Post

I don't understand why Crude has been able to hold so steady near 100? I thought the economic outlook was bad, china slowing, europe slowing, America will have to slow if they slow.

 

Crude was like $80 not long ago, and with the dollar spiking when the euro was crashing, crude was fine?

 

Germany just wants to salvage what it has left, it seems like the PIIGS don't have enough political will to actually implement any austerity. Their excuse will be that it will force the nation into a long-term recession.

 

At this point, we've tried stimulating and no growth has occured. Even in America, seems like the only options are default or print our way out. The economy isn't going to grow enough to pay back the debt.


i could be wrong with this, but i believe the reason why wti has been holding in there so well during all of this crazy volatility in the markets has been mainly due to the tensions going on in the middle east, particularly iran.... i've been following the news over there for a little while now and it looks like the $hit is about to hit the fan over there soon, and if iran ever goes offline, wow.... look the hell out above!!! if anyone thought the spike in curde during the spring to $110 was insane, well you ain't seen nothing yet... this could easily spike to $150+ if iran goes kaput. hopefully that doesn't happen, because all of us here will feel the pain at the pump (eg, $5/gal. gas). but it's looking pretty darn likely. it is getting extremely tense there to say the least...keeping very close tabs on the situation there. i believe rando has posted some news from there on here anytime something serious has happend. this looks like it will be a 2012 story.

post #131970 of 136697

Is there some speech going on somewhere??  My twitter is on fire with new fear chatter...

post #131971 of 136697

uhhhhhh not.. They have enough money due to the wealth transfer since the 70s.. let them pay their own dam debt, its their fault for all the supposedly required development. Also they can pay their small populations debt  due to the massive amount of wealth they have taken from other countries. Its not the same comparison  at all. Your talking about defaulting on debt for citizens in the Us which inst applicable and wouldn't help the situation.  Ya ya as usuall balme the US rather than notice the real reason behind the issue.
 

Quote:
Originally Posted by Internationalstocks View Post

Would be nice if the US helped us by paying off our debts once in a while as well then our economy would improve but instead they just helped the banks out. In the UAE they pretty much give money to their own people while in the US they pretty much try and make their people fork out more and more taxes.

 

http://www.arabianbusiness.com/uae-unveils-2-7bn-fund-pay-debts-of-poor-432831.html

 

I'm sure the people would have more money to invest if the government helped out once in a while.



 

post #131972 of 136697

Divergence today, will be interesting tomorrow..

post #131973 of 136697

My feelings continue to be that the big money guys are all eyeballing each other like a Mexican standoff.

 

They all want higher levels so their funds look good on the annual report, but none of them wants to the last holding out the building after the party has ended.

 

 

 

 

 

post #131974 of 136697


would you want to drink the last cup of warm stale beer from the party? eh

Quote:
Originally Posted by StockJock-e View Post

My feelings continue to be that the big money guys are all eyeballing each other like a Mexican standoff.

 

They all want higher levels so their funds look good on the annual report, but none of them wants to the last holding out the building after the party has ended.

 

 

 

 

 



 

post #131975 of 136697

That warm beer has been roofied.

post #131976 of 136697

I think all that's left is stale beer... they are standing around wondering who is actually gonna drink it before they all point fingers and laugh at them.
 

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjoke View Post


would you want to drink the last cup of warm stale beer from the party? eh



 



 

post #131977 of 136697
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lago View Post

I love how everyone is sooo happy with jobs data that is just barely good enough to keep our heads about water... but considering we are 15 billion underwater this anemic job creation does nothing for the economy.  Not to mention we are still showing anemic numbers going into the seasonal hiring boom... the US is treading water best case scenario... and with growth still being downgrading all around the world... our days are numbered.  Ignoring that reality is pure insanity. 
 



 



Most people just read the headlines and they'll tell you how great the recovery is.

post #131978 of 136697
Today's day session is a bit tamer and lower-volume than yesterday but is almost an exact opposite. Yesterday we dipped on the open then ripped nicely to about the highs for the day (not quite) and today we ripped off the open then dipped to the lows (which have been marginally broken). If the pattern continues we'll remain 1239-1244 or so before dumping late in the day. Not that we will, expecting an opposite day is pretty dumb, but if it continues to follow the script it might help offer clues of how to interpret the action at several price levels (LOD, first hour low, middle of first hour range, etc).
post #131979 of 136697

lol i throw my shoe at CNBC...  oh its not surprise that we are giving some back today... then how come you bastards kept pushing a continuation to the rally.  yep one day of nonsense inst going to shake me out from my perception. A rate cut BFD i say..

 

 

uhhh okay stop suing the banks you lame people and states, .. you all played a part in it and i didnt see anyone bitching when you were up more than the market rate a few years ago. Retarded how people blame others all the time. ooo robo singing, oooo ruined Massachusetts markets.. who the hell cares.. selfish lawsuits.

post #131980 of 136697
Quote:
Originally Posted by StockJock-e View Post

My feelings continue to be that the big money guys are all eyeballing each other like a Mexican standoff.

 

They all want higher levels so their funds look good on the annual report, but none of them wants to the last holding out the building after the party has ended.

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

the_NATO_boys.jpg

 

What’s this stuff?”

“Some cereal. It’s supposed to be good for you.”

“Are you gonna try it?”

“I’m not gonna try it. You try it.”

I’m not gonna try it. You try it!”

 

 

I wonder how many here are old enough to remember this ???

 

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