I dont like to make such predictions, but.. in this case.. (Hellas
)
I think the 'historical' elections in Greece will not change so much.
Things can happen:
Nea Demokratia wins absolute
no new bailout negotiations, nothing changes.
Siritza wins, what i doubt,
some negotiations, 10 or 20 bil. € would be remitted, regrouped to Bonds, Pinks or
dont know..
to something that can procrastinate it.. pensioners will receive 10 € more and some of the
medical or education cuts will be revoked. All sides won, lets continue the nightmare..
or a coalition..
the same think but weaker..
At all events, nice boost for the € at Monday.
The whole week around 1.26. What a wonder..
Oanda suspended trading on Sunday.
(Y2K, FB hype in my opinion)
Quote:
Due to the extreme volatility some market analysts foresee could result in the coming days, OANDA fxTrade will not accept any trading activity from 6:00 AM EST until approximately 3:00 PM EST, on Sunday, June 17, 2012. OANDA believes the convergence of a major market event during off-market hours represents a potential trading risk and has taken this rare step to protect traders from excessive rate fluctuations.
For gamblers, take 500 $ and go long on € at Sunday. Even with spread 20.
At a broker that allows it.
And, whats the omnipresent hype forgets to say, its not about € or no €.
Its only about two parties, nothing more. Even if Siritza wins, without a coalition pressure
i highly doubt they will exit the €. With Nea Demokratia, no chance.
AND even if Siritza wins 100 %,
and bailout the bailout
it has to pas month's till the € exit.
I hope its clear for every body that a currency exit is not a 2 weeks thing.
And it this time so much things can happen. Spain or Italy can happen
or or and, a EU made law
'that allows the infected Countries to...'
and the exit is obsolete, and so on..
That got longer than i thought..