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EUR/USD - Page 281

post #5601 of 6004

game on..showing sign of cracking.. got one confirmation, waiting on the additional.

also since tomorrow was options EX there was a huge block of long options which are most likely being sold/covered.

 

 

post #5602 of 6004

euro1.png

 

 

euro2.png

 

 

 

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post #5603 of 6004
Quote:
Originally Posted by cire2222 View Post

im not one to point fingers at over trading. i do so myself. I just thought you were against it. I have been lucky this year when over trading, in attempts to catch smaller moves against my bigger picture it has paid off very well. has not always been the case but this year i have been very in tune with the Euro.   The Euro is all i have been trading actively,but i Have a long term bullish position in the stock market that is a "buy and hold"   the one method everyone fears now is the method i feel is best 'and so far has proved very well. 

 

as for the Euro right now we are in what i like to call the refresh term,  cycling out the short term traders by making choppy moves, hitting stops, getting people out for the next big move. I ultimately think we head down but i dont think it will happen in the typical head and shoulders fashion everyone is looking at.  

 

right here at this moment i see at least a move up to 3150-3160 area. I dont have much else to expect on a short term basis until further action unfolds

 

 


3150-3160 area came as expected. i actually did get a new sell signal that is a very high probability trade but i cant seem to think of a way for it to play out properly. Im not going to hold much weight in this signal. It goes with my big picture idea but doesnt fit within my smaller picture idea so the size of the position wont be huge, i think there is more upside before a down swing
post #5604 of 6004

i hasnet gone anywhere. so it doesnt move past this 1.316 then its rinse repeat action and will want to go lower.

waiting for EU session to open and see if they will follow asia.

 

euro3.gif

 

euro4.gif

post #5605 of 6004

1.318 which is a tough nut to crack in previous instances. This could be it .. as spain bond yeilds also surpassed 6% today and then slightly hanging below it.

post #5606 of 6004

yep that was a rejection might need more than one test and yeilds are above 6% .. things are starting to turn.


Edited by mjoke - 4/20/12 at 5:46am
post #5607 of 6004

suspicious.gif

 

snipped ..

Stops are closer on the topside, with talk of stop-loss buy orders above 1.3175 and 1.3180, and more heavy stops above 1.3205 There are some big exotic options rolling off today at 1.2950, 1.2975 and 1.2990 which do not look like being troubled at the moment. Stop-loss sell orders are also reported below 1.3050. Middle East Sovereigns have been buying dips all week but they aren’t usually active during Asian trade.

post #5608 of 6004

DX @ 79.420 LMFAO

post #5609 of 6004

ya eh i doubt it lasts the day or weekend.

post #5610 of 6004

I picked up 420's 

post #5611 of 6004

didnt i warn you? higher first

post #5612 of 6004

dont i have a right to doubt you? lol.. dont get me wrong but there inst inst positive data causing it; speculation..and mainly on the G meeting this weekend, is russia going to save the Euro? .. cuz france is going to have a Left wing president who is saying some pretty radical things.

 

Busy weekend.

post #5613 of 6004

rocking those stops

post #5614 of 6004

ya i think they got most of them now.. as it was spread between 1.318 - .1.322

post #5615 of 6004

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjoke View Post

dont i have a right to doubt you? Let alone there inst positive data causing it; speculation..

 

sure you do. since when did the market move in a logical way?  if it did we would all be rich

post #5616 of 6004

well it is the security that most traders do get wrong.. so ill take 1 out of 10 .. laughing.gif or something.

 

come on cire lets get rich ;)

Quote:
Originally Posted by cire2222 View Post

 

 

sure you do. since when did the market move in a logical way?  if it did we would all be rich

 

 


Edited by mjoke - 4/22/12 at 2:54am
post #5617 of 6004

a simple 20 pips is a long here at 150 target 170. should come fairly easy. 

post #5618 of 6004

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by cire2222 View Post

a simple 20 pips is a long here at 150 target 170. should come fairly easy. 

 

you are welcome cool.gif

post #5619 of 6004

going into FOMC tomorrow.  I expect a fairly small reaction. I think everything is priced in and we wont get a directional move until after FOMC is cleared and economic news takes over again. I think the risk is to the upside since traders expect the downside

post #5620 of 6004

actually i think once the FMOC is released its going to rip. as its been trading ina  fairly narrow range and holding pattern.. then the BOJ this weekend.. in no way will this be a small move or mumdame i think. Every FMOC or NPF always reacts and it doesnt give back what it takes.  I dont think traders expect a downside, as if that was applicable it would be sitting on lows of the range rather than butt up against 1.322

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