I do agree with the trading style, as i do have a long term view of it and just try to catch the little intra moves also, but then reference longer perception for clarity but then again as a caveat .. this is the security which most traders get wrong. It is not rational or expected in any fashion ( i think) .. As for the H&S patterns, i never hold a candle to those, most of the time they fail i think than actually complete in a smooth fashion. That is inherently due to i feel other crosses.
I dont see another move up, its been stuck in this range for 4 days or so, and frankly, if it does move up will be on anticipation of the bond auction, which its the perfect time to not have any demand and yields to climb. They dropped what 25bps in 2 days.. kinda alot on the basis of 77B euros more for the fund based on a economy which is far larger.
I see you want to play the rouge trader the contrarian aspect, "long market etc" however i think problems are far under estimated and infact the DELEVG period will be horrible. Why havent we had EPS expansion in EU when the US did and now we are stuttering,.. this low or 0 interest rate thing is going to bite us in the ass and especially the decouple from south american rates vs the rest of the planet. .. im smell 1980 x 10. lol. Where are my mixed tapes.
im bullish too, when it hits close to parity :) .. or 1.20 ill reassess.. but indeed it needs a break down to lower levels, as its not competitive for all member states in the euro.
I want to play the euro directly, but i think i would profit the same amount as i do on the inverse DX moves and well DX and EURO do things to other areas ya know..