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Oil : USO - USL - CL futures and oil ETF discussion - Page 35

post #681 of 781
Quote:
Originally Posted by Airgutter87 View Post

ALL OF THE BELOW IS FOR JULY '11 (20 contracts)

 

CONSERVATIVE BEAR PUT SPREAD:
USO BEAR.png

If the stock falls to 38 or below, you're set to a 7k gain... The breakeven level is 41.51... and if the maximum loss is 8,980 at 46$... Considering the last time this ETF hit 46$ was Nov 2008, I feel it's very unlikely. But wtf do I know...

 

AGGRESSIVE BEAR PUT SPREAD:

USO BEAR HIGHLY.png

This is a much more aggressive approach... If you would bet your left nut that the stock will drop... I think this spread is good for you :D... The spread breakeven level is 36.61... Max gain is 9.2k at 32$ or below... and maximum loss is 2,700 at 38$ or above..


While everything is possible I doubt that USO will see $32 with the current mess in Libya and the middle-east. Also demand for oil is quite high in Asia and the rest of the world. If at any time we see that Saudi Arabia was or is unable to cover extra demand from their reserves oil prices will skyrocket.
post #682 of 781


 

Quote:
Originally Posted by Internationalstocks View Post



Quote:
Originally Posted by Airgutter87 View Post

ALL OF THE BELOW IS FOR JULY '11 (20 contracts)

 

CONSERVATIVE BEAR PUT SPREAD:
USO BEAR.png

If the stock falls to 38 or below, you're set to a 7k gain... The breakeven level is 41.51... and if the maximum loss is 8,980 at 46$... Considering the last time this ETF hit 46$ was Nov 2008, I feel it's very unlikely. But wtf do I know...

 

AGGRESSIVE BEAR PUT SPREAD:

USO BEAR HIGHLY.png

This is a much more aggressive approach... If you would bet your left nut that the stock will drop... I think this spread is good for you :D... The spread breakeven level is 36.61... Max gain is 9.2k at 32$ or below... and maximum loss is 2,700 at 38$ or above..




While everything is possible I doubt that USO will see $32 with the current mess in Libya and the middle-east. Also demand for oil is quite high in Asia and the rest of the world. If at any time we see that Saudi Arabia was or is unable to cover extra demand from their reserves oil prices will skyrocket.


Completely agreed. I was just throwing a couple things out there for the people who are really bearish.. Personally, I think it could potentially go up to upwards of 46-48+... and wouldn't really fall below 36-37.

 

post #683 of 781
Hope this news does not kill the oil rally rolleyes.gif

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110306/pl_nm/us_usa_energy_reserves
post #684 of 781
post #685 of 781

Here comes oil at 107/Barrel!

 

My weekend flip is going to pay off

post #686 of 781
Quote:
Originally Posted by HFbamafan View Post

Here comes oil at 107/Barrel!

 

My weekend flip is going to pay off


Looking good so far biggrin.gif unless that invisible hand comes in to intervene.. rolleyes.gif
post #687 of 781

i am taking a loss, and out on my puts.

waiting for another opportunity to go short, this sucker has to come down.

post #688 of 781

Out at open for a 30% gain. I had a feeling we were going to see a sell off after the run up

post #689 of 781

bloomberg say oil is headed towards 200 a barrel

 

any thoughts 

post #690 of 781
There's always some fear monger preaching outrageous numbers. The $200 number has been tossed around before, the last time oil prices spiked. One day we may eventually get there but if it happens this year then most of the world's economies will collapse, then the folks trying to sell that overpriced oil won't have any customers. Oil cannot get that high unless there are people who can afford it.
post #691 of 781

If Saudi Arabia gains unrest it will likely surge... Considering they're the highest supplier of oil on the "food chain."

post #692 of 781
post #693 of 781
I think this last dip on oil prices was a buying opportunity. I'm going to buy all the dips when oil dips.
post #694 of 781

Thats doubtful as Japan is the 3rd largest importer..

Oil will decline as they are in a state of emergency and dont need as much to put it simply.

Long Term it will go back up, but not for awhile.

post #695 of 781
Quote:
Originally Posted by Internationalstocks View Post

I think this last dip on oil prices was a buying opportunity. I'm going to buy all the dips when oil dips.

Buy the dips..
post #696 of 781

Pretty good move over the past two days in oil

post #697 of 781
I say oil prices continue to climb so USO calls should do well.

500
post #698 of 781

USO Pulls Back Intra-day. Watch This Level.

 

 

The United States Oil Fund(NYSE:USO) sold off a little from its intra-day high just before spot crude closed on the NYMEX at 2:30 pm EST. Traders should watch the $42.80 level for intra-day support. This could also be a likely scalp bounce level for the USO.



Nicholas Santiago
InTheMoneyStocks

 

post #699 of 781

I am looking for a retracement on the spot back to the 110 level soon. I may be making a call position shortly.

post #700 of 781

Oil numbers just out, inventories are lower, oil just popped over $110

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