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Marcos Weekly Sentiment Poll (8/20-8/24)

Poll Results: How will the S&P close the week of 8/20-8/24?

Poll expired: Aug 20, 2012  
  • 60% (15)
    Up?
  • 8% (2)
    Flat? (less than 1/2%)
  • 32% (8)
    Down?
25 Total Votes  
post #1 of 65
Thread Starter 

                               This is a poll for the third week of August (8/20-8/24).

                                             How will the S&P close that week?

Starting Point:

 

 

 

Results from last poll (8/13-8/17).

         Start: 1405.87 to 1418.16 = Up 0.87%
                 HSM voted:

 

Congrat's up voters and HSM gets the tally for the week.smile.gif

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjcECxXNIPcKdGJPbnZZeVdIWWRGdE9uMUJwa1FCS2c


Edited by Mark Vierra - 8/17/12 at 5:49pm
post #2 of 65

DOWN

post #3 of 65

Hey,stop posting pics of my wife!  I vote down too.

post #4 of 65

hmmm this is a hard one..

post #5 of 65

I voted UP again.

post #6 of 65
I'm not voting yet, but can't imagine voting down, with the established trend so strong, volume and volatility this low, and a few weeks left in the summer trade. What is there to catalyze a reversal? The slow melt up is hard to stop without something at least mildly explosive.
post #7 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by rando View Post

I'm not voting yet, but can't imagine voting down, with the established trend so strong, volume and volatility this low, and a few weeks left in the summer trade. What is there to catalyze a reversal? The slow melt up is hard to stop without something at least mildly explosive.

yea cant bring myself to vote this early...esp mid week of the week before lol...wait til sunday aftn or eve....europe can always pop it drop it with something over the weekend
post #8 of 65

i would be concerned about volume drying up, and there are no more buyers at these levels.

However the window dressing combined with the QE aspect might cause the melt up... any confusion or disappoint will cause a sell off.. how steep, eh i would expect a paper cut.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rando View Post

I'm not voting yet, but can't imagine voting down, with the established trend so strong, volume and volatility this low, and a few weeks left in the summer trade. What is there to catalyze a reversal? The slow melt up is hard to stop without something at least mildly explosive.
post #9 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post

I voted UP again.

may as well rt??? not gonna be much either way but that is the trend...im still undecided wink.gif
post #10 of 65

I voted up again as well, pretty solid terror the Techs have been on this week. I'm really curious as to when the Financials are going to start their move. GS still holding right at the 200MA. Sooner or later these guys are gonna pop as well and send the market running IMO.

post #11 of 65
Thread Starter 

Post #1 updated with starting point and prior weeks poll results.

If I missed giving credit to any up votes in last poll thread, let me know.thumbup.gif

post #12 of 65

I voted down, although it could be a down then up sort of deal.

or just up up and away. IDFK!!! laughing.gif

post #13 of 65
Quote:
Originally Posted by IchibomB View Post

I voted down, although it could be a down then up sort of deal.
or just up up and away. IDFK!!! laughing.gif

just oozong with conviction arent you laughing.gif
post #14 of 65

IDFK, kev! 

3 contact starter in NQ. A fade down to 2735 would be awesome. 

If I'm wrong, I'm eyeing 2826-2865. 

 

 

post #15 of 65

OH HOW THE MIGHTY HAVE FALLEN!!!! can't even predict whether the subsequent week will end up, down, or flat based on how the preceding week closed.

 

tsk tsk tsk

post #16 of 65
Thread Starter 

I almost sold all my UPRO to buy SPXU after I read this.

I figured no more wall of worry left to climb if tones turns bull.laughing.gif

 

 

"Phew" had me going there.....

 

Quote:

Originally Posted by tones View Post

DOWN

post #17 of 65

I just don't know anymore. I'll put my vote on thursday or friday next week.

post #18 of 65
Yuck, just looked at our track record, only 6 of the last 10... we voted up 8 of the last 10 weeks, market is up 8 of the last 10 weeks, so 6 for 10 is the worst we could have done. Time for HSM to tighten things up and nail four in a row going into a tricky time of year, let's do it.
post #19 of 65
Thread Starter 

I'm with you Rando, 4 more in a row would be great.

One thing that's always been in the back of my mind is I think the flat option is adding a handicap.

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by rando View Post

Yuck, just looked at our track record, only 6 of the last 10... we voted up 8 of the last 10 weeks, market is up 8 of the last 10 weeks, so 6 for 10 is the worst we could have done. Time for HSM to tighten things up and nail four in a row going into a tricky time of year, let's do it.
post #20 of 65

well i've taken a couple of weeks off here from the markets but i figured i'd sign in to cast a vote as i completely missed the poll last week... i'm just taking a little break is all, enjoying some good 'ole family time this month and not worrying about anything... :) i do plan on coming back full-time again next month though... these are the last couple of weeks of the summer and i don't want to miss out on the good times, and quite frankly i just don't give a $hit about the markets right now... these moves we're seeing this month are completely meaningless to me... let's see what happens when all the big boys come back from their summer vaca... september and most definetly october will be most interesting imho. and it will have much more meaning when the volume is back to somewhat more normal. ya ya ya, so we're sitting at recovery highs right now, but where's the participation in all of this? it's a dead freakin' market. volatility at what 2007 lows? ya, that's about all you need to know... we'll see what happens next month when most traders are back at their desks... oh and one thing i wanted to mention here is how i'm surprised most people aren't talking about israel/iran. seems like everyone is so caught up with europe and china worries, but does anyone have any ideas what an israeli attack on iran would do to the markets? some folks i've talked to regarding this think it's just all talk and it isn't actually gonna materialize... i'm not sure sure about that. this $hit seems pretty serious, and i get the idea the iranians would totally welcome the war? personally, i'm a believer in that it will happen, it's just the timing which i'm not so certain about... i have one iranian friend who i've talked to about this who thinks it could happen anywhere between now and before the elections... that would be something. we'll have to see about that. i do think this will have an extremely negative impact on the markets when it does happen...

 
anyway enough of that eh...my vote for this week is flat.
 
there just isn't anything coming up on the calendar this week that i can see having a major impact on the markets in either direction... just another boring ass week if you will... i think it's just going to be much of the same crap as we've seen these last couple of weeks... not doing much of anything. chop, chop, chop and more chop. just close your eyes and go to zzzzzzzzz's... unless we get that black swan event, this thing is likely not gonna do anything for the next couple of weeks... just an extremely boring grind higher. yawn.gif
 
well back to hibernation i go.... hope y'all are enjoying your summer (or what's left of it). peace.
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