Well, if nat gas comes into favor the price should reflect that change... If nat gas is out of favor, like it is now, CHK should be a depressed stock. Buying or holding the stock when nat gas is not booming gives me a large margin to have a gain if nat gas does come into favor. If I buy or hold when nat gas is booming I have a lower margin of gaining a profit; everyone would be jumping in. Maybe I'm a contrarian...
At a price in the low twenties the stock seemed undervalued. The book value was inline with the market cap and I felt that if the company could stay out of the red for a year the price would appreciate at least above $27-28 (That was its basic resistance). I will start to seriously think about selling if it hits a market cap around 25B.