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Politics, society, and why everything is going to hell. - Page 2

post #21 of 1240
Quote:
Originally Posted by Z-OldEurope View Post

 

Common, if Obama is dangerous, whats with Bush ?

 

Took you to 2 unsuccessful wars (also unnecessary, whats better now ?)

made few really unamerican laws cutting freedom, and now bye bye, i quit it..

have a nice time..

 

But, see my posts im with RP from the beginning.

 

But it was clear that he would not do it. Because he is the right man.

 

The rest what comes scares me a little..

 

I am an independent and a conservative. I don't care if they're Democrat or Republican and I voted for Clinton and sad to say Gore. I cringe when I think what may have happened if Gore or Edwards were in office.

 

Basically I'm a little right of center. Don't assume I'm just a one party kind of guy and your input is always appreciated.

post #22 of 1240
Thread Starter 

I'm with you Bob. I don't subscribe to any particular political ideology. I've voted Dem and Rep. But these days it has come down to trying to determine which candidate is the least corrupt or the least dangerous. Sorry times we live in.

post #23 of 1240
Quote:
Originally Posted by stoneranger View Post

I'm with you Bob.

 

I know you are. Remember a day or so ago you said it doesn't take long to figure out most people. thumbup.gif

post #24 of 1240
Thread Starter 
post #25 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Meaningful Work

By Thomas Sowell

5/29/2012

 

"Education" is a word that covers a lot of very different things, from vital, life-saving medical skills to frivolous courses to absolutely counterproductive courses that fill people with a sense of grievance and entitlement, without giving them either the skills to earn a living or a realistic understanding of the world required for a citizen in a free society.

 

The lack of realism among many highly educated people has been demonstrated in many ways.

When I saw signs in Yellowstone National Park warning visitors not to get too close to a buffalo, I realized that this was a warning that no illiterate farmer of a bygone century would have needed. No one would have had to tell him not to mess with a huge animal that literally weighs a ton, and can charge at you at 30 miles an hour.

 

No one would have had to tell that illiterate farmer's daughter not to stand by the side of a highway, trying to hitch a ride with strangers, as too many college girls have done, sometimes with results that ranged all the way up to their death.

The dangers that a lack of realism can bring to many educated people are completely overshadowed by the dangers to a whole society created by the unrealistic views of the world promoted in many educational institutions.

 

It was painful, for example, to see an internationally renowned scholar say that what low-income young people needed was "meaningful work." But this is a notion common among educated elites, regardless of how counterproductive its consequences may be for society at large, and for low-income youngsters especially.

 

What is "meaningful work"?

The underlying notion seems to be that it is work whose performance is satisfying or enjoyable in itself. But if that is the only kind of work that people should have to do, how is garbage to be collected, bed pans emptied in hospitals or jobs with life-threatening dangers to be performed?

Does anyone imagine that firemen enjoy going into burning homes and buildings to rescue people trapped by the flames? That soldiers going into combat think it is fun?

In the real world, many things are done simply because they have to be done, not because doing them brings immediate pleasure to those who do them. Some people take justifiable pride in working to take care of their families, whether or not the work itself is great.

 

Some of our more Utopian intellectuals lament that many people work "just for the money." They do not like a society where A produces what B wants, simply in order that B will produce what A wants, with money being an intermediary device facilitating such exchanges.

Some would apparently prefer a society where all-wise elites would decide what each of us "needs" or "deserves." The actual history of societies formed on that principle -- histories often stained, or even drenched, in blood -- is of little interest to those who mistake wishful thinking for idealism.

At the very least, many intellectuals do not want the poor or the young to have to take "menial" jobs. But people who are paying their own money, as distinguished from the taxpayers' money, for someone to do a job are unlikely to part with hard cash unless that job actually needs doing, whether or not that job is called "menial" by others.

 

People who lack the skills to take on more prestigious jobs can either remain idle and live as parasites on others or take the jobs for which they are currently qualified, and then move up the ladder as they acquire more experience. People who are flipping hamburgers at McDonald's on New Year's Day are seldom flipping hamburgers there when Christmas time comes.

Those relatively few statistics that follow actual flesh-and-blood individuals over time show them moving massively from one income bracket to another over time, starting at the bottom and moving up as they acquire skills and experience.

Telling young people that some jobs are "menial" is a huge disservice to them and to the whole society. Subsidizing them in idleness while they wait for "meaningful work" is just asking for trouble, both for them and for all those around them.

Thomas Sowell

Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute.
post #26 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Egg on Face(book)

By Cal Thomas

5/29/2012

 

There will be investigations and already there are lawsuits over the rollout of Facebook's overhyped IPO last week, but no investigation is necessary into the reason for the outrage over the stock's rapid fall. It's called human nature.

It is the same characteristic that causes people to believe against staggering odds that they can win the lottery, or score big in Atlantic City or discover a fool-proof "system" for playing the stock market. It is the familiar get-rich-quick notion that somehow one can bypass hard work, sound financial planning and win The Big One, retiring to a life of ease.

 

The old maxim "There's a sucker born every minute" can be amended in the Internet age. Today, there's a sucker born every second. No matter the teaching of moralists, history and experience, there are still those who believe they have discovered something new, or that they alone have a gift for making money.

Facebook was going to create "instant" millionaires, even billionaires. It did for founder Mark Zuckerberg and a few of his associates, who sold their stock immediately and reaped immediate profits. There is nothing wrong with what they did. That's business.

But shareholders are blaming Zuckerberg and Morgan Stanley, one of the firms handling the IPO sale. Reuters reports the plaintiffs are accusing the defendants of "concealing from investors during the IPO marketing process 'a severe and pronounced reduction' in revenue growth forecasts, resulting from increased use of Facebook's app or website through mobile devices."

 

This is like suing a casino because you lost money at the roulette table. Gamblers know, or should know, the risk in betting. The stock market is simply another form of "gaming." When investing in an IPO, one is "betting" the stock will rise and the investor will profit. There are no guarantees. Even a novice investor has probably heard the disclaimer, "past performance does not guarantee future results."

The problem with moral lessons is they must constantly be re-learned. The dot com bubble burst of the '90s wasn't enough for some people. Big and small scams, some of them advertised on TV, continue to catch the easily duped. Recall the recent rash of gold commercials in which the announcer proclaims that "some experts" predict gold prices will soon top $3,000 an ounce. Gold prices are down from their historic highs, but the commercials continue to run.

How about a reverse mortgage? There are dangers with those, too, but to hear the paid spokesmen talk about them you might think they are the answer to all your financial problems. In fact, they are not for everyone and may cause new and even worse problems.

 

Why don't people learn from history and the experiences of others? Greed is listed among the "seven deadly sins" for a reason. In the case of those who poured a lot of money into Facebook stock seeking instant wealth, only to see the price plummet, their greed did them in.

There are rules about money. Licensed financial advisers -- as opposed to some of the TV hotshots who "recommend" stocks -- inform individuals about responsible investing. But our human nature too often gets in the way of sound judgment and it is that which the flimflam artists, snake oil salesmen and sleight of hand merchants have relied on for generations to fool us into believing they have discovered the fast track to prosperity.

Those who lost money in the Facebook IPO have wound up with egg on their faces. They should have known better. Congress now wants to get into the act. It shouldn't. Facebook involved private money. If Congress wants to investigate something, it should examine how it wastes taxpayer money.

Cal Thomas

Cal Thomas is co-author (with Bob Beckel) of the book, "Common Ground: How to Stop the Partisan War That is Destroying America".
post #27 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Mocking America’s Feckless Politicians

By Daniel J. Mitchell

5/29/2012

 

Who are the worst people in America? For sheer evil, I’m sure murderers, rapists, and child molesters belong at the top of the list. But if we’re talking about overall damage to society, it’s hard to imagine that any group is as counterproductive as politicians.

Whether they’re causing financial crises, undermining American competitiveness, crippling upward mobility for the poor, or giving away our money in corrupt vote-buying schemes, it seems that politicians have a reverse Midas touch.

That’s why I enjoy sharing the jokes from the late-night comics. It’s important to mock these pretentious windbags. So enjoy the latest batch.

 

Jay Leno

  • It’s been a rough week for Facebook and Mark Zuckerberg. Zuckerberg has lost so much money in the market that President Obama is going to have him replace Ben Bernanke.

 

  • The Center for Responsive Politics reports that President Obama has become the first politician in history to raise $1 billion in his political career. Imagine how much more he could have raised if people hadn’t lost it all in his economic plan.

 

  • Police in South Dakota arrested a 53-year-old man formerly from Chicago who’s trying to climb Mount Rushmore. The guy is in his 50s, from Chicago, and he’s desperate to get on Mount Rushmore. Oh my God, it’s Obama!

 

  • Just two weeks after a felon in jail got 41 percent of the Democratic vote in West Virginia, President Obama got embarrassed again in Arkansas yesterday when an unknown lawyer got 42 percent. See, that proves once and for all that there’s only a 1 percent difference between a lawyer and a convicted felon.

 

  • Congratulations to former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. The city of San Francisco has named a street after her today. It’s called Botox Avenue.

 

  • President Obama gave the commencement speech at Barnard College the other day. He told graduates their future is bright unless they want jobs.

 

  • Have you heard about Facebook co-founder Eduardo Saverin? He’s renounced his U.S. citizenship because it’ll save him millions of dollars of taxes — to which Mitt Romney said, “That’s what the Cayman Islands are for.”

 

  • President Obama is calling for more government reform after JPMorgan’s $2 billion loss. Really, is that what we need — the government stepping in? You know what’s going to happen? The government’s going to teach them how to lose $2 billion a DAY!

 

  • Mitt Romney has jumped to a seven-point lead over President Obama in a national poll. I think Romney’s starting to get cocky. Today he threatened to pin down Joe Biden and pull out all of his hair plugs.

 

  • President Obama was in Nevada this weekend. Finally some good news for the Secret Service — a place in America where prostitution is legal.

David Letterman

 

  • Facebook is worth $100 billion. Today it was friended by Greece.

 

  • Over the weekend Betty White endorsed Barack Obama. I think I’m going to wait and hear what Angela Lansbury has to say.

Conan

 

  • A new study shows current members of Congress speak at a 10th grade level. When reached for comment, Congressman Eric Cantor said, “Nuh-uh!”

 

  • A Republican official says that Mitt Romney should pick “an incredibly boring white guy as running mate.” When he heard that, Joe Biden said, “Thanks, I’ve already got a gig.”

 

Jimmy Fallon

  • Here’s an election update. Today Mitt Romney met with a group of wealthy Latino business owners. Or as Romney calls them, “the Juan percent.”

 

  • While attending meetings in Chicago this week, President Obama stayed at a hotel instead of his own house. It was annoying. When he asked for a wake-up call, they just showed him the latest poll numbers.

 

  • This week Mitt Romney started giving speeches while standing in front of a giant U.S. debt clock. When asked what it was like campaigning with a large electronic object, the debt clock was like, “Not bad.”

 

 

Daniel J. Mitchell

Daniel J. Mitchell is a top expert on tax reform and supply-side tax policy at the Cato Institute.
post #28 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Spain Runs Out Of Money To Feed The Zombies

 
Tyler Durden's picture


zombies_0.jpgOne of the problems with the Hispanic Pandora's box unleashed by a now insolvent Bankia, which as we noted some time ago, is merely the Canary in the Coalmine, is that once the case study "example" of rewarding terminal failure is in the open, everyone else who happens to be insolvent also wants to give it a try. And in the case of Spain it quite literally may be "everyone else." But before we get there, we just get a rude awakening from The Telegraph's Ambrose Evans-Pritchard that just as the bailout party is getting started, Spain is officially out of bailout money: "where is the €23.5 billion for the Bankia rescue going to come from? The state's Fund for Orderly Bank Restructuring (FROB) is down to €5.3 billion."

 

From here on out, the alternatives have been discussed to death and are clear as day: either the ECB, and the global central bank syndicate, inflates away the debt, which can only happen if Germany gives the ECB a carte blanche to print up the the $3-5 trillion required to backstop the European financial system, or we proceed straight to an instance of "Odius debt"/debt moratorium/write down, which however with trillions in daisy-chained, rehypothecated, partly submerged within the broker-dealer mediated shadow banking system, liabilities permeating throughout the global financial system, the outcome would be a tremor that shakes the very foundations of the financial system, in the process also impairing the $1 quadrillion OTC derivative credit money pyramid. In other words: nobody wants to, pardon, nobody dares to do anything, and the best Europe, and by implication the world, can hope for is to survive day to day, without launching the terminal financial D-Day. Pritchard's summary of next steps is expected: "The result of Europe's policy paralysis is more likely to be a disorderly break-up as Spain – and others – act desperately in their own national interest. Se salve quien pueda." Only it is not only Europe. It is the entire world. But it will start in Europe. And specifically Spain, which unlike Greece is too big to be swept under the rug. It is also a place where the zombies are now congregating.

 

In an indication of just how surreal the modern financial world has become, none other than Bloomberg has just come out with an article titled "Spain Delays and Prays That Zombies Repay Debt." We can only surmise there was some rhetorical humor in this headline, because as the past weekend demonstrated, the best zombies are capable of, especially those high on Zombie Dust, or its functional equivalent in the modern financial system: monetary methadone, as first penned here in March 2009, is to bite someone else's face off with tragic consequences for all involved. What Bloomberg is certainly not joking about is that the financial zombies in Spain are now everywhere.

post #29 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Paul B. Farrell

Paul B. Farrell

May 29, 2012, 12:03 a.m. EDT

Warning: America’s new Age of Austerity starts now

Commentary: Denials, delays will deepen the impact

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch

SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — Warning, tighten your belts, America’s new Age of Austerity is already here, today. There I said it. I admit it. And you better too. Prepare now. Could be like the 1930s depression austerity.

You’ve seen the warnings all across the major newspapers about a global slowdown. But why no warnings of austerity dead ahead? Why? America’s still deep in denial. We prefer happy talk to the truth. No, nobody will get honest about austerity till after the elections. Then it’ll hit hard.

Unemployed men in February 1931 queued outside a depression soup kitchen opened in Chicago by Al Capone.

Wake up. You were warned: America’s new Age of Austerity is already here.

Till the elections, nobody else will tell you the truth about what comes with this slowdown: Plan on classic economic austerity. Maybe not austerity as deep as the euro zone’s Spain and Greece. Yet maybe deeper than the 1930s as Nobel economist Paul Krugman writes in his new book, “End This Depression Now.”

Yes, America’s already in a depression. Wake up America, to a long bear market, a recession cycle, to austerity where everything slows down, income, jobs, retail, global trade, and market returns. Listen to the latest warnings just last week:

  • Wall Street Journal warns “New Signs of a Global Slowdown … Weak reports in U.S., Europe and China suggest economies are slipping in sync.” Yes, a global economic slowdown is “in sync.” Not just a typical summer market dip. Not even a double-dip recession. But a dark long scenario we’ve all been fearing. And with it, deep, dark austerity.

  • Los Angeles Times warns: “Europe’s woes put drag on world growth … even powerhouse Germany may be faltering.” Not just the euro zone, “but reports of economic trouble are turning up in China, India, South Africa, Brazil and elsewhere.” Austerity is here.

 

 

 

  • New York Times headline fans the flames of a metastasizing global contagion: “China’s Output Slows Sharply: Ripples Feared. Nationwide real estate downturn, stalling exports and declining consumer confidence.” Yet China was totally predictable. A few months ago our headline read: “World Bank warns: China is a ticking time bomb.” Now, kaboom.

 

  • Foreign Policy: Yes, austerity’s coming, and maybe with it, a new president: “Five World Events That Could Swing the U.S. Election” headlined the latest Foreign Policy. And any one could also totally alter the trajectory of a economic slowdown or recovery. Polls show jobs and the economy are the “most important issue for them in choosing a president.” But those five global “events” could send the economy and the election “careening along a very different path than the one it’s traveling down today: Iranian showdown; European nose dive; Chinese economic slowdown; domestic terrorist attack; and an “Unknown Unknown,” an unpredictable Black Swan killer.

 

Austerity is so predictable, so obvious, yet we chose hype and denial

Nothing new? No, nothing really is new, just denied, ignored, dismissed, avoided. Which is why we all need constant reminders. Why? From a basic psychological and behavioral-economics perspective, we need to wake up.

 

First, our world is full of constant hype and happy talk: Wall Street’s reports, rhetoric and pitches are known to be upbeat 93% of the time. Washington politicians and corporate CEOs are equally suspect.

 

But the real reason most of us need constant reminders is that we’re gullible, distracted, forget and, unfortunately, we all really do want to believe the world full of good people telling us the truth. But sadly, 93% of the time they’re likely manipulating us.

 

So let’s look back at some earlier warnings that this slowdown was coming, of bears, recessions and a new age of belt tightening a-u-s-t-e-r-i-t-y that some warn can extend till 2020 and beyond. Listen:

 

  • BusinessWeek: “It’s as if 2008 never happened,” warned a BusinessWeek editorial last year. Why? So predictable from a market cycle perspective. Truth is, another meltdown is a natural, welcomed and essential part of the cycle, in order to complete what the 2008 meltdown triggered — 2008 failed to reform Wall Street. And since necessary corrective action did not happen, the next crash will likely be worse than 2000 and 2008 combined.

 

  • InvestmentNews: “Top advisers see very slow growth in 2012.” Last year that headline was screaming at us. Some advisers said it far worse, saw “very slow, measured growth for two, three years.” Remember, these pros aren’t happy-talking naïve investors, they’re not just some Wall Street hustlers and Washington politicos covering their election rears. This report came from inside the world of professional financial advisers.

 

  • Meltdown Sweepstakes: Back in 2009 my headline read, “Wall Street’s 2012 meltdown sweepstakes.” Just one year after the meltdown: 30 public warnings, that Wall Street was fighting too much, driving the bus in the wrong direction: “Here is what’s happening: History is repeating itself. Wall Street’s soul-sickness is setting up a new meltdown. Dead ahead. Be prepared.” Yes, I said “dead ahead” back then. Traders think fifteen minutes is an eternity. But for long-term strategists, analysts and futurists, “dead ahead” can mean years. Read my June 3, 2008 column reporting on 20 loud warnings of a crash coming, 20 warnings over eight years.

 

  • Seven Lean Years: Back in mid-2010 my headline read, “Seven lean years: No recovery till 2016,” a review on Jeremy Grantham’s prediction: “The idea behind ‘seven lean years’ is that it is unrealistic to expect to overcome the several problems facing most developed countries, including the U.S., in fewer than several years.” Grantham’s firm invests $100 billion of retirement funds, he can’t afford mistakes. He warned, expecting a quickie recovery was unrealistic: “The negatives are likely to hamper the global developed economy.”

  •  

Warning: Till 2020, expect slow global growth, plus deep austerity

 

Back in mid-2011 I reported on one of economist Gary Shilling’s scariest ever Insight newsletters. He’s been a respected Forbes columnist for decades, saw a recession starting in 2012. Because “much of the excesses and financial leverage built up in past decades, especially in the financial sector globally and among U.S consumers, remain to be worked off.”

Why? In a large part because of the Fed and Treasury’s failed “attempts to bail out the nearly collapsing U.S. private sector” just made matters worse by focusing on banks not jobs.

Then in one chilling section Shilling summarized his nine key reasons why investors better prepare for “Slow Global Growth in Future Years.” Get it? Not just prepare for a temporary, double-dip recession in 2012. But a deeper depression-style slow-growth likely till the election of 2020.

 

Seriously, listen closely, and commit Shilling’s “9 Causes of “Slow Global Growth” to memory, along with a 10th one that now seems obvious:

  • Savings vs imports: More and more consumers are shifting from a 25-year borrowing-and-spending binge to a saving spree. This trend will spread across the globe. And American consumers will import less from nations dependent on exports for economic growth.

  • Deleveraging: Financial deleveraging is already reversing economic trends that financed much of the world’s recent new growth.

  • Government spending: Developed countries in Europe and others are moving toward fiscal restraint, spending less.

  • Regulations: Increased government regulations and involvement in major economies worldwide will reduce innovation, increase economic inefficiencies.

  • Commodities: Declining commodity prices will further cut consumer spending by commodity-producing nations across the world.

  • Protectionism: Nationalism and protectionism will also slow, possibly eliminate, economic growth throughout the world.

  • Housing: Excessive inventories and reduced interest from investors will continue to suppress America’s already weak housing market.

  • Deflation: Deflation will cut spending as buyers wait for lower prices, negotiate harder, demand big discounts.

  • Local revenues: State and local governments across America are losing revenues, cutting services.

  • Elections: But perhaps most of all, impacting everything, the extreme, accelerating irrationality driving our angry political wars will further undermine an already stagnant economy, until a 1929-style crash takes down the markets and the economy.

post #30 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Ponzi's End

 
Way up here in the heartland, far from the craft beer parlors, Facebook stock bucket shops, and gender obsessions of the mythical Urban Edge People, the detritus of your country is up for sale. The lawns are strewn with the plastic effluvia of lives lived through humankind's weirdest moment: Pee Wee Herman action figures, creeping tot tables, failed kitchen appliances that created more labor than they were designed to save, extruded plastic this-and-that, unidentifiable knick-knacks of forgotten sitcoms, Jimmy Carter Halloween masks, trikes brittle and faded from ultraviolet exposure, artworks conceived in a Zoloft fog, pre-owned cat litter boxes, someone's deceased mother's lawn fanny, the complete works of Jacqueline Susann, a savings bank in the shape of an outhouse....
 
The puzzling part is that every lawn sale contains exactly the same array of useless and pathetic objects. Is this how a Ponzi culture meets its end: the terminal swap-meet beyond which no horrifying object meets any mystifying desire for acquisition? If this is where consumer culture crawled off to die, then what possible zeitgeist awaits a people left so hopelessly de-cultured on aspiration's lowest ladder-rung?
 
I dropped by a religious cult commune in the next town over on Saturday. Some of the guys who dwell there have been helping me out on hire with the physical labor of the rather ambitious garden construction here at Clusterfuck Farm, so I was informed about their weekend festival. The group occupies a former "gentleman's estate" built in the 1920s when the economic growth machine operated at full Ponzi steam. The buildings are quite beautiful; the main house is a Greco-Roman beaux arts mansion; a massive horse barn has large and graceful arched windows; and there are other houses and barns on the large property, which occupies a sweetly enfolding dell of land in this county of hills and valleys.
 
The weather couldn't have been more beautiful and the property was maximally groomed for the festival. There were several tents up, nice ones, decorated with colorful medieval-looking swags. One was a big circular tent set up for the folk-dances that are part of their subculture. You got a very clear picture of the demographic shape of the outfit: at the core of it were vital and healthy-looking young adults, median age around 30, I figured, who were running things, doing most of the work, organizing the daily routines. Then there were the old Boomers turned white-haired grandparents (many times), seekers from the 1970s who had signed on with the outfit long ago, reproduced mightily, and now played a background role in the scheme of things.
 
There was a costuming motif that was not too intense but allowed for visual self-identification among the members: long skirts for women; beards and pony-tails on the men, who all otherwise dressed in ordinary catalog casuals of the day. It set them apart without making them look too kooky. It also reinforced gender differences (the horror!) in a micro-society not dedicated to erasing and transgressing them. I didn't know much about the group's internal workings, but it seemed to me that the men were in charge, and I got the impression that far from representing some clichéd notion of "patriarchal oppression," it produced a reassuring tone of confidence in clear lines of responsibility - a quality now completely absent in outer America's culture of incessant lying, systematic fraud, and consensual evasion of reality.
 
I was especially interested to observe the behavior of the children, of which there were very many. For one thing, they appeared fully integrated into their society, not ring-fenced into some special ghetto of juvenile disempowerment palliated with manufactured video power fantasies and endless snacks. They were unperturbed and self-possessed. None were screaming, quarreling or carrying on. They were not hopped up on Big Gulps and Twinkies. They did not require constant monitoring. They danced along with the adults, or circulated confidently on their own, and with their friends, in the crowd.
 
I was a keen student of religious cults in the 1970s when I was a young newspaper reporter. The blowback from the Age of Aquarius had propelled a lot of lost souls into quests for meaning and especially communion beyond the sordid precincts of the idiotic common culture of the day. They were also seeking structure in chaotic young lives unable to get traction in a bad economy. I was interested in what the cult scene had to say about America generally and, I confess, attracted to the melodrama of fringe lunacy I found there, including a lot of colorful unbalanced personalities among the various founders and poobahs. I poked around a number of religious cults, including some accused of maliciously coercive practices, and I eventually even wrote a novel based on my experience ("Blood Solstice," Doubleday, 1988).
 
All this is to say that I retain a broad skepticism about organized religion in general and about American Utopian endeavor in particular. But the country and its baleful culture are now in an even more advanced state of entropic degeneration than was the case in the last days of Vietnam and Watergate. Those two awful conditions were at least settled and the nation moved on. The troubles that now afflict us guarantee a much broader systemic collapse that will surely require great changes in everything that we do and everything that we are. The demoralization of the larger American public is so stark and pronounced that you can smell it in the rising heat.
 
What I saw on Saturday on this farm was a wholly different group demeanor: purposeful, earnest, confident, energetic, and cheerful. It mattered too, I think, that this small community's economy was centered on agriculture and value-added production of common household products (they make soaps and cosmetics for the natural foods market). This was a snapshot of the much smaller-scale and local economy of America's future, techno-narcissistic fantasies aside. I don't know whether these people represent a lifeboat, or if these qualities of character can be enacted in a wider consensual culture, and one not necessarily based on religious doctrine, which I am not so avid about.
post #31 of 1240
Thread Starter 

obama-biden.jpg

post #32 of 1240

Igor is freaking hammered

stone-ipa-lg.jpg

post #33 of 1240
Do any of you guys listen to Michael Savage? That man speaks the truth.
post #34 of 1240
Thread Starter 

I'm familiar with the name but don't have time to listen.

post #35 of 1240
Thread Starter 

Why We’re Ungovernable: Gridlock and the Fiscal Cliff

post #36 of 1240
Thread Starter 

"the military industrial complex and big banks on the right, the entitlement/regulatory state on the left — have gotten everything they’ve wanted for such a long time that they’ve evolved into monsters."

 

and that's the truth. But neither side will give an inch. 'Future spending cuts'? who the hell are they kidding? That's just another phrase meaning..kick the can down the road and let the next guy worry about it. We are truly screwed.

post #37 of 1240
Quote:
Originally Posted by stoneranger View Post

"the military industrial complex and big banks on the right, the entitlement/regulatory state on the left — have gotten everything they’ve wanted for such a long time that they’ve evolved into monsters."

 

and that's the truth. But neither side will give an inch. 'Future spending cuts'? who the hell are they kidding? That's just another phrase meaning..kick the can down the road and let the next guy worry about it. We are truly screwed.

 

We're not screwed Stone but our kids and grand kids are for sure. Nothing is going to change in my opinion and like you said they will just keep kicking the can. I would like to see the Republicans (conservatives?) in total control just to verify. Considering the massive spending for many years how would they stop and reverse the deficit? I don't have a clue.

post #38 of 1240

 

U.S. Winds Down Longer Benefits for the Unemployed




Hundreds of thousands of out-of-work Americans are receiving their final unemployment checks sooner than they expected, even though Congress renewed extended benefits until the end of the year.

The checks are stopping for the people who have the most difficulty finding work: the long-term unemployed. More than five million people have been out of work for longer than half a year. Federal benefit extensions, which supplemented state funds for payments up to 99 weeks, were intended to tide over the unemployed until the job market improved.

 

In February, when the program was set to expire, Congress renewed it, but also phased in a reduction of the number of weeks of extended aid and effectively made it more difficult for states to qualify for the maximum aid. Since then, the jobless in 23 states have lost up to five months’ worth of benefits.

 

Next month, an additional 70,000 people will lose benefits earlier than they presumed, bringing the number of people cut off prematurely this year to close to half a million, according to the National Employment Law Project. That estimate does not include people who simply exhausted the weeks of benefits they were entitled to.
 

Separate from the Congressional action, some states are making it harder to qualify for the first few months of benefits, which are covered by taxes on employers. Florida, where the jobless rate is 8.7 percent, has cut the number of weeks it will pay and changed its application procedures, with more than half of all applicants now being denied.

 

The federal extension of jobless benefits has been a contentious issue in Washington. Republicans worry that it prolongs joblessness and say it has not kept the unemployment rate down, while Democrats argue that those out of work have few alternatives and that the checks are one of the most effective forms of stimulus, since most of it is spent immediately.

 

After the most recent compromise reached in February, another renewal seems unlikely.

The expiration of benefits is one factor contributing to what many economists refer to as a “fiscal cliff,” or a drag on the economy at the end of this year when tax cuts and recession-related spending measures will all come to an end unless Congress acts. The Congressional Budget Office warned last week that the combination could contribute to another recession next year.

 

Candace Falkner, 50, got her last unemployment check in mid-May, when extended benefits were curtailed in eight states. Since then she has applied for food stamps and begun a commission-only, door-to-door sales job. Since losing her job two years ago, Ms. Falkner said, she has earned a master’s degree in psychology and applied for work at numerous social service agencies as well as places like Walmart, but no offers came.

Ms. Falkner, who lives on the outskirts of Chicago, said she was grateful for the checks she received. But when they ended, she said, “They should have had some program in place to funnel those people back into the job market. Not to just leave them out there cold, saying, ‘The job market has improved, but there’s still 60,000 people in the city who can’t find one.’ ”

 

Unemployment is lower than it was when the emergency unemployment extensions were ramped up in November 2009. Now, it is 8.1 percent, down from 9.9 percent then. But it is still far higher than pre-recession norms, and there are more than three job seekers for every opening.

Proponents of extended benefits say the cuts are premature. Chad Stone, the chief economist at the liberal Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, said Congress had never before put the brakes on extended benefits when the labor market was so weak. “It’s moving in the wrong direction, and it’s occurring at a time when unemployment is very high,” he said.

Conservative economists and political leaders have argued that unemployment benefits prolong joblessness and simply transfer wealth from one area of the economy to another without contributing to growth.

 

Kevin A. Hassett, director of economic policy studies at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, said, “I haven’t liked the 99-week solution from the beginning because it creates an environment where people are subsidized to become a structural unemployment problem.”

Still, he is troubled by the latest developments. “If you just reduce the weeks of unemployment for people already unemployed but don’t do anything else, it’s a bad deal,” he said, “because they’re already about the worst-off people in society.”

He points to alternatives like using unemployment money to encourage entrepreneurship or paying benefits in a lump sum, rather than over time, to encourage people to find work faster.

 

Most states offer 26 weeks of unemployment benefits, plus the federal extensions that kicked in after the financial crash.

The number of extra weeks available by state is determined by several factors, including the state’s unemployment rate and whether it is higher than three years earlier. So states like California have had benefits cut even though the unemployment rate there is still almost 11 percent.

“Benefits have ended not because economic conditions have improved, but because they have not significantly deteriorated in the past three years,” Hannah Shaw, a researcher at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, wrote in a blog post. In May, an estimated 95,000 people lost benefits in California.

 

After the recession, 99 weeks became a symbol of the plight of the jobless, with those who exhausted their benefits calling themselves “99 weekers” or “99ers.” But by the end of September, the extended benefits will end in the last three states providing 99 weeks of assistance — Nevada, New Jersey and Rhode Island.

 

Some states have tightened eligibility as well. Nationwide, most people apply for benefits by phone. Last August, Florida began requiring people to apply online and to complete a 45-minute test to assess their job skills, according to a complaint submitted to the federal labor secretary by the National Employment Law Project and Florida Legal Services.
 

The complaint said that applicants with limited Internet access or English skills, disabilities or difficulty reading had effectively been shut out, and that failure to complete the assessment was illegally being used to deny benefits. Denials have soared; now just over half of applicants are rejected. Nationally, 30 percent of applicants are rejected, according to the law project.

The changes have saved the state $2.7 million, according to James Miller, a spokesman for the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity. The state’s unemployment rate, he pointed out, has declined for 10 straight months. “The Department of Economic Opportunity provides accommodations to individuals with barriers to filing their claims,” he wrote in an e-mail. “D.E.O. welcomes any review and is certain that Florida’s statutory changes are in full compliance with federal law.”

The Labor Department is reviewing Florida’s unemployment program in response to multiple complaints, a spokesman said.

post #39 of 1240

CEO of the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity, warns of job losses totaling 1.4 million over the next eight years and a 23% jump in electric rates in states dependent on coal-fired plants due to EPA regulations.

Will War On Coal Unplug Obama?

 

05/23/2012
 

Energy: As coal use drops, job losses rise and electricity prices skyrocket, an electoral map of the 16 top coal-mining states does not bode well for an administration whose energy policy consists of algae and exploding electric cars.

Earlier this year, Houston-based GenOn Energy Inc. announced plans to close five of its older coal-fired power plants in Pennsylvania over the next four years, saying that tough new environmental rules make it unprofitable to operate the plants, which generate a total of 3,140 megawatts of electricity.

The plants are in Portland, Shawville, Titus, New Castle and Elrama. Two plants in Ohio and one in New Jersey will also be closed.

Based on current polls, Ohio is once again a battleground state and even Pennsylvania, full of bitter people clinging to their Bibles and guns, may also be in play.

Rising energy prices and lack of jobs will play heavily on the administration's fortunes in November, both affected by the administration's war on fossil fuels, particularly coal, being waged via regulations by what has become the fourth branch of government -- the Environmental Protection Agency.

The good folks at RedState.com have put together a map showing the top 16 coal-producing states and their place on the electoral stage. Together they contain 182 electoral votes.

Of the top coal-producers Obama carried Colorado, New Mexico, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. Illinois and possibly New Mexico are likely to remain in the Obama camp. The rest are arguably already gone, like Indiana, or seriously in play, comprising some 71 electoral votes.

The political landscape in these states has already begun to change due to failure of Obama's economic and energy policies.

Since Obama took office the state governments and legislatures of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia have all been taken over by Republicans. And Republicans captured the House of Representatives in Colorado and the governorship in New Mexico.

Steven Miller, president and CEO of the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity, warns of job losses totaling 1.4 million over the next eight years and a 23% jump in electric rates in states dependent on coal-fired plants due to EPA regulations.

Well, President Obama did promise he would make energy prices "necessarily skyrocket."

Two events last week gave an indication of just how bad things will get.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a shocking drop in power sector coal consumption in the first quarter of 2012.

Coal-fired power plants are now generating just 36% of U.S. electricity, vs. 44.6% just one year ago.

Not surprising, since the closings of 319 coal-fueled generating units totaling 42,895 megawatts, about 13% of U.S. coal capacity, have been announced nationwide since January 2010, according to the Sierra Club.

PJM Interconnection, the company that operates the electric grid for 13 states (Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia and the District of Columbia) held its 2015 capacity auction giving the first real indication of just how damaging Obama's war on coal will be.

The market-clearing price for new 2015 capacity -- almost all natural gas -- was $136 per megawatt. That's eight times higher than the price for 2012, which was just $16 per megawatt. In Pennsylvania, the new market price is $167 per megawatt -- 10 times higher.

In northern Ohio, suffering from more forced coal-plant retirements than the rest of the region, the 2015 price is an astounding $357 per megawatt.

There are not enough solar panels and wind turbines in the world to make up for the lost capacity, the lost jobs and economic growth, and the higher electricity prices Obama's war on coal have and will continue to impose on our beleaguered economy.

In addition to pain at the pump we are facing pain at the plug. Fortunately there will be still enough coal-generated electricity to run the voting machines and let voters unplug President Obama and his policies.


Copyright 2012 Investor's Business Daily, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
post #40 of 1240
Thread Starter 

More And More People Think That The Next Debt Ceiling Fight Will Be A Catastrophe

Tornado

 

A trend is emerging: A host of MSM pundits/analysts/economists are predicting a complete catastrophe right when the debt ceiling comes up.

To wit:

  • At Bloomberg View, economist partners Betsey Stevenson and Justin Wolfers predict that the next debt ceiling fight could sink the entire economy, in part thanks to the fiscal cliff issues being felt at the same time. They point to the economic deterioration seen last summer (when confidence collapsed around the time of the debt ceiling fight) as evidence for the trouble.
  • Ezra Klein recently called the next debt ceiling fight as something approaching a Lehman moment, again because it could come amidst the fiscal cliff miss.
  • At Slate, Matt Yglesias has argued that because Republicans have already reneged on the last debt ceiling deal, that making another deal will be even harder.
  •  

Meanwhile, Citi's credit strategist Jason Shoup recently came out with a note saying markets were way too complacent about the coming storm:

As such, we believe that it's far more likely than many anticipate that the US economy actually does fall off the fiscal cliff. To be fair, our base case is still that the politicians end up temporarily extending many of the tax expirations. But there's a significant chance even this is not achieved, especially in light of the Speaker of the House's insistence on once again tying the raising of the debt ceiling (which will need to be done in early 2013) to spending cuts.

Moreover, there's a high likelihood that the spending cuts due to sequestration are enacted. A modification to the defense cuts is desired by the Republicans (which may or may not be politically feasible), but neither party has expressed much interest in rolling back the cuts. That's a drag of 0.6% to GDP alone, although Citi’s economic forecasts already assume fiscal tightening of about 1% of GDP in 2013.

From the market’s perspective, asset prices do not correctly reflect the risk of another policy failure like the one that occurred last year, in our opinion. In the months prior to the most recent European sell-off we were hard pressed to find more than a handful of investors that were truly worried about the prospect of a self- inflicted recession in 2013, or the damage that could be done to confidence
beforehand even if a deal was ultimately reached at the eleventh hour. While aware of the issue, most thought it would be contained to the fourth quarter and more or less a non-issue.


The question to our minds is: Are markets still that complacent? We’d have hoped that recent comments by the Fed and the Boehner-Reid back and fourth would have raised a few eyebrows at the very least. But with valuations more reflective of European risk, it’s difficult to determine what’s truly priced in.

Bottom line: People are growing more grim, and the thinking is that it's not priced in.

We should also note something else: The US market basically held up until after the debt ceiling fight was over last year. It was only in the aftermath that we really got the hard plunge. This time it's all being telegraphed and worried about much earlier.


Edited by stoneranger - 5/30/12 at 8:51am
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