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Stock Market Intraday Chat: May 7 - May 11

post #1 of 806
Thread Starter 
The Stock Market Today: The S&P futures are trading lower after the french elections:

fut_chart.ashx?t=ES&cot=138741,13874A&p=h1

Monday May 7





Consumer Credit
[Report][Bullet
3:00 PM ET

Jeffrey Lacker Speaks
6:00 PM ET
 



Redbook
[Bullet
8:55 AM ET

Jeffrey Lacker Speaks
9:45 AM ET



Richard Fisher Speaks
1:45 PM ET
 


Wholesale Trade
[Report][Bullet
10:00 AM ET


Sandra Pianalto Speaks
10:45 AM ET

Charles Plosser Speaks
12:00 PM ET


Weekly Bill Settlement

Ben Bernanke Speaks
 


Jobless Claims
[Report][Star]
8:30 AM ET



Naryana Kocherlakota Speaks
10:00 AM ET






Treasury Budget
[Report][djStar]
2:00 PM ET


Money Supply
[Bullet
4:30 PM ET


Richard Fisher Speaks
9:15 AM ET

Equity Settlement
5-10-12
Equity Settlement
5-11-12
Equity Settlement
5-14-12
Equity Settlement
5-15-12
Equity Settlement
5-16-12

 

Wall Street ended its worst week this year with a sharp selloff on Friday after a slowdown in job creation in the world's top economy raised the biggest question mark yet about the prospects for U.S. growth.

Based on the latest available data, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 168.32 points, or 1.27 percent, to end unofficially at 13,038.27. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index shed 22.47 points, or 1.61 percent, to finish unofficially at 1,369.10. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 67.96 points, or 2.25 percent, to close unofficially at 2,956.34.

 

For the week, the Dow unofficially slid 1.4 percent, while the S&P 500 dropped 2.4 percent and the Nasdaq lost 3.7 percent.

 

The S&P 500 marked its worst weekly decline since December. For the Nasdaq, this was the worst week since November.

 

Marcos Weekly Sentiment Poll (4/30-5/4)

 

 

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post #2 of 806

oh we have ben speaking thursday.. wonder what he's gonna be saying

post #3 of 806

Tomorrow is the 2 year anniversary of the flash crash...

 

Relive the thrills.

 

.... also a classic John Daily at the bottom of the article.

post #4 of 806
Indecisiveness seems to have been resolved after the weak jobs report!

Downside momentum is starting to pick up with a good test of S&P support in the 1360 - 1340 area appearing likely over the next week. GLTA!!!
post #5 of 806
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by tones View Post

oh we have ben speaking thursday.. wonder what he's gonna be saying

 

Here's your tip of the week. Pick on that link and you'll find this. Yeh, I'm picking on you again. laughing.gif

 

Description
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to speak via satellite at the 48th Annual Conference on Bank Structure and Competition, sponsored by the Chicago Fed.

post #6 of 806
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by rst View Post

Indecisiveness seems to have been resolved after the weak jobs report!
Downside momentum is starting to pick up with a good test of S&P support in the 1360 - 1340 area appearing likely over the next week. GLTA!!!

 

I was thinking about going long on everything Mon. Maybe I should reconsider. laughing.gif

post #7 of 806
Might want to be patient and picky.smile.gif

Always will be bounces along the way.
post #8 of 806
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by rst View Post

Might want to be patient and picky.smile.gif
Always will be bounces along the way.

 

I don't trade many stocks anymore but I used to keep a small watch list and you could do quite well with stuff like YOKU & YRCW. I haven't checked them in quite awhile but they were pretty easy to pick the bounces. In these choppy waters I need to look at them again. When you mentioned being picky it brought this back to mind. Thanks. thumbup.gif

post #9 of 806

Toronto's 12,000 Level.......

And it's reaction to Friday's Jobs Report :

 

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=ca%3aisptx&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=46938&style=320&freq=1&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=13&rand=631375056&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=0&maval=9&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&height=335&width=579&mocktick=1

 

Toronto's 12,000 Level.......

And it's (down-gap) reaction to Friday's Jobs Report :

 

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=ca%3aisptx&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=46938&style=320&freq=9&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=18&rand=1313637029&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=0&maval=9&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&height=335&width=579&mocktick=1


 

Note how on the day immediately preceding the jobs report, it fell by 224 points, to close at 12,000 like, almost exactly.

 

It's reaction to that jobs report, I would say doesn't bode well.

post #10 of 806

20120504_trader.png

post #11 of 806

By Rodrigo Campos

NEW YORK (Reuters) - After Wall Street ended its worst week of the year on Friday, U.S. stock investors will look across the Atlantic next week to take their cue from Europe as France and Greece go to the polls.

That could offer some respite from a string of weak U.S. economic data and the earnings season winding down.

Markets worldwide have closely watched developments in Europefor the past several months, with calls for austerity seen as positive for stocks as they seek to prevent a credit crisis in the region that could take down or deeply hurt the global economic recovery.

But an economic slowdown throughout the region has amplified calls for a change of direction.

In France, the prospect of a victory by Francois Hollande over conservative incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy, which would instate the country's first Socialist president since 1995, initially alarmed some investors. Hollande's win could be a hurdle to the German-led drive for austerity in Europe.

Adding to the markets' jitters: Anti-bailout parties are expected to perform well in Greece's vote on Sunday, raising the risk of more opposition to already unpopular reforms.

"There's potential for uncertainty and instability in Europe," said John Praveen, managing director of Prudential International Investment Advisors in Newark, New Jersey. "The market is pricing in extremely negative scenarios."

Praveen said there is still room for a market rebound if Hollande, should he win the presidency, comes out with a more conciliatory tone that would ease investors' fears about France's commitment to fiscal stability.

Investors are waiting to see if Hollande, who holds an advantage in polls over Sarkozy, will be able to square France's need for fiscal reforms with his plans to promote growth.

"I'm not quite sure, regardless of who wins, does it say 'sell the S&P'? ... It just continues the uncertainty, no matter who wins," said Frank Lesh, a futures analyst and broker at FuturePath Trading LLC in Chicago.

TECHNICALS RULE IN A LIGHT WEEK

Technical levels could regain importance next week as the U.S. economic data calendar thins and fewer than 30 of the S&P 500 components are expected to report earnings.

"On no news, we all start looking at charts," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research in Cincinnati.

"We found support recently on the S&P near 1,360. If we violate that, it would be a bad sign," he said.

The S&P 500 slipped below that level twice last month and bounced back, but has since found strong resistance at 1,400. The recent soft economic data, capped with Friday's payrolls report showing the third straight month in which hiring had slowed, has dampened hopes for a convincing break upward.

________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

"Techincals ruling" - Thats our favorite, right? biggrin.gif

post #12 of 806

good. love TA.

 

hope we see some red/green days this week and not just all red. hate seeing one trend dominate whether green or red. pos ben created the biggest bubble. wish feds would stfu.

 

operation FB coming week after this

post #13 of 806

operation FB.  haha.  i like that.

 

i'm hoping for an operation Flash Crash myself...

post #14 of 806
Quote:
Originally Posted by MaX PL View Post

 

 

i'm hoping for an operation Flash Crash myself...

Tell me about it... rolleyes.gif

post #15 of 806

Sell In May And Go Away .... only if the MACD says so.

 

There is an interesting read on STS (Seasonal Timing Strategy) that makes the following claim:

 

"Introduced in 1998, over the last 13 years our STS has gained 190.6% to year-end 2011 compared to a 64.4% gain for the Dow, a 20.3% gain for the S&P 500, and an 18.8% gain for the Nasdaq."

 

Here's the article.

 

and another article about MACD switching strategies to triple returns.

post #16 of 806

The EURUSD is toast, get the jelly out.  Still holding my EURUSD short from two weeks ago

 

WSJ: François Hollande appears to have won the French presidential election, ousting Nicolas Sarkozy, according to preliminary results.

post #17 of 806

Well, the socialist Frenchie won. Better short the markets because this guy is going to bankrupt France even more.

post #18 of 806
Has the euro/usd cracked under 1.3 yet? My platform doesn't show any trading, might have to wait until later tonight
post #19 of 806
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by hermanpu View Post

Baked in IMO, the polls showed the socialist winning before Friday. Now they can focus on juicing the bailouts even more before Sarkozy leaves. Bernanke promised European woes won't have mug effect on US markets do maybe it'll force him to launch QE3 earlier

 

I hope you're right and it is baked in but I don't think so. Here comes more turmoil.

 

(Reuters) - Socialist Francois Hollande swept to victory in France's presidential election on Sunday in a swing to the left at the heart of Europe that could start a pushback against German-led austerity.

 

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/06/us-france-election-projections-idUSBRE8450AR20120506

post #20 of 806
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobK View Post

 

I hope you're right and it is baked in but I don't think so. Here comes more turmoil.

 

(Reuters) - Socialist Francois Hollande swept to victory in France's presidential election on Sunday in a swing to the left at the heart of Europe that could start a pushback against German-led austerity.

 

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/06/us-france-election-projections-idUSBRE8450AR20120506

 

Bob,

 

I agree with you I don't think any France stuff is baked in.  I think we're going to see EURUSD react in a big way here 

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