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Stock Market Intraday Chat: Apr 30th - May 4th - Page 15

post #281 of 411

lnkd up > 120 AH

post #282 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post

To short or not to short LNKD.... hmm.gif Got 5 mins to make my decision...
Edit: Just bought some weekly 85 puts.
Ok, dammit.
post #283 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post


Ok, dammit.

 

With the way things have been if they beat on earnings too, they should be sub $100 by market open

post #284 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by hermanpu View Post

You'd think more people would be buying since prices are the lowest they've ever been, the economy seems to be "rebounding" at least thats the perspective the media is putting on the data.

 

The stock market is at multi year highs, jobs data is getting better.

 

Warmer weathing is better for real estate isn't it? Most people don't want to move in the winter because its cold.

 

She feels the warm winter stole sales from the spring.  Sales and prices had been recovering last fall in her area, and Q1 of this year was fantastic, but now that April is in the books she is convinced Q1's results were solely weather-based.

I've heard the experts on CNBC say we are at the bottom in real estate, but the numbers don't bear that out IMO.  When you consider that millions of retiring Boomers will be downsizing, and a large portion of the young generation is saddled with billions in debt, including secured student loan debt, then you can see how there will be downward pressure on home prices for the next several years.  Some areas will be better than others but overall there won't be a housing recovery for awhile IMO.  

 

post #285 of 411

That Great Groupon IPO.........Yep, that was a beaut !

 

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=grpn&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=8294283&style=320&freq=1&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=8&rand=220634060&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=0&maval=9&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&height=335&width=579&mocktick=1

 

Can't hardly wait for FaceBook
 

post #286 of 411

16bimpi.jpg

post #287 of 411
Thread Starter 

thursday may 3rd market wrap w/ brian shannon

{may want to lower your sound a bit audio a bit hot...}

post #288 of 411

Yeah, this earnings period has been exactly like putting money in a slot machine.  It doesn't seem to matter what the report says, the resulting price movement just seems to be random (but usually down, even on earnings beats).

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by jsteinm1 View Post

 

With the way things have been if they beat on earnings too, they should be sub $100 by market open


Edited by InverseProphet - 5/3/12 at 8:17pm
post #289 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by webChris View Post

 

'“If we get 200,000 or higher, above expectations, then I think we’re off to the races,” says Kelly.'

 

According to him, the worst would be a meet or slight miss/beat of estimates.

 

so we're looking for about a 100,000 wide window in which the market might go down tomorrow.   which is stupid of course, because if the market surges on a miss, they're still not going to do qe3, and i think that's pretty obvious by now.    it's going to take a sizable drop in the market for any more qe to occur.  

post #290 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by charulz View Post

16bimpi.jpg

So which one is it? up or down biggrin.gif

post #291 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr.Mike View Post

So which one is it? up or down biggrin.gif

You can take your pick and hope!
post #292 of 411

Isn't this the same day as Facebook IPO trades on Nasdaq?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Davecash77 View Post

Quote:
Originally Posted by kylestt View Post

nice catch, seeing the same on /NQ as well, lots of nice wicks on a bunch of charts here

 

 

Thanks Kylestt

 

I like the upside until May 18th where we have some massive lunar atuff going to happen,I know a lot of you are not into the asto that much so i will not go into detail but keep that date in the back of your mind and i will revisit it ATT...

 

Just remember Facebook IPO, I'm pretty sure thats the same day.

Correct me if I'm wrong.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BobK View Post

Quote:
Originally Posted by Davecash77 View Post

 

 

Thanks Kylestt

 

I like the upside until May 18th where we have some massive lunar atuff going to happen,I know a lot of you are not into the asto that much so i will not go into detail but keep that date in the back of your mind and i will revisit it ATT...

 

I won't remember May 18 Dave but if you would post a reminder on the 17th I might.

 

Too many "coincidences", I have this weakness with numerology.laughing.gif

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by jsteinm1 View Post

Quote:
Originally Posted by BobK View Post

 

I won't remember May 18 Dave but if you would post a reminder on the 17th I might.

 

Its May expirations if that helps. "Say Nay to May" next time your looking at chains... catch phrases always help

 

Dave you seem to put some confidence in this Lunar stuff, huh?

I'm a real nerd when it comes to the cosmos and astronomy.

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by Davecash77 View Post

Volatility $VXX dropping like a rock,more upside to come..IMO...Have been Long $XIV and do think it will test the $13.50 area by the 18th of May..

post #293 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by yars View Post

it's going to take a sizable drop in the market for any more qe to occur.  

The market's appetite for more QE is so ravenous that the Fed "talking about maybe doing more QE" is the new QE. Think about it. It would not be surprising to hear tomorrow more "Fed remains prepared to do what is necessary to support the economy." Bernanke needs those open FOMC seats filled, all I expect until then is more repetition of what they've been saying in recent months.
post #294 of 411

choppy trading... soh watching wtf is going on. bulls and bears losing right now

 

stupid ryfor january-april rally.. w/ that said i think the markets are starting to correct a bit.. slow melt down.. only slow b/c the words "qe3" are keeping the markets this high. there is absolutely no fundamental reason for markets to be this high imo

 

feds are gonna eventually lose credibility on qe3 talks and will have to release something to keep their "promise" seeing as how this is an election yr.. anticipating late summer

post #295 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by tones View Post

choppy trading... soh watching wtf is going on. bulls and bears losing right now

 

stupid ryfor january-april rally.. w/ that said i think the markets are starting to correct a bit.. slow melt down.. only slow b/c the words "qe3" are keeping the markets this high. there is absolutely no fundamental reason for markets to be this high imo

 

feds are gonna eventually lose credibility on qe3 talks and will have to release something to keep their "promise" seeing as how this is an election yr.. anticipating late summer

 

There's chop because we're in a massive wedge or triangle or whatever.

Hopefully next week we narrow it down enough to start breaking out one way.

 

aasre.jpg

post #296 of 411

8.1%? It seems like it gets better each and every month when clearly it isn't, I'm pretty sure it will be down to 7.5% by the time the election rolls around, just like they want it.

post #297 of 411

A 30% miss on the NFP would normally drop the S&P big time?  Welcome to the new normal run by the algo's. .

 

The NIL force number up by 522 thousand?

post #298 of 411
Quote:
Originally Posted by Venom08 View Post

8.1%? It seems like it gets better each and every month when clearly it isn't, I'm pretty sure it will be down to 7.5% by the time the election rolls around, just like they want it.

If the weather service said it was 55 degrees today when it was really 75 degrees, then they told you about the new method they use to measure temperature, it would be the same thing. Clearly BS, but they can claim to be accurate based on those methods. It's the same thing here. I actually expected the 8.1 and while I thought NFP would be higher I also expected it to miss... on the surface it seems counterintuitive for MFP to be so weak (not even keeping pace with population growth) and unemployment to simultaneously fall, but people are giving up looking for work, so those folks are not technically 'unemployed.' Hopefully nobody here thinks "unemployed" can be officially defined as "without a job" because that's not enough to meet the criteria.
post #299 of 411
Dumping my GMCR calls hopefully for a small profit to get LNKD may $125/120 put spread. Still going to hold my SPY put spread
post #300 of 411
With LNKD just beware of the FB hype machine, ZNGA, GRPn, LNKD, Z, P lots of recent IPOs in social media sphere and related may catch bids off the FB mania.


SPY 1 hour sporting a confirmed/triggered H&S with head 141.65, neck 139.65, target 137.25, gap to fill is 137.33... seems to be the best downside target I can find without looking really hard.
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