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Stock Market Intraday Chat: Apr 16 - 20 - Page 22

post #421 of 477

 

Originally Posted by mjoke View Post

here .. let me turn on the light... your right its not everyone.. its a select FEW .. who obviously are "close" lol.


anyways its the last hour.. thanks for the time kill..

 

Sell off tomorrow as rando kinda eluded too.

 

It's not a select few buddy. 

Just a select few that say something about it. 

A select few that have been around for a while. 

post #422 of 477

Come on guys, let this go! I wish a moderator would step in, its become a horrible clutter to this thread in the last 24hrs. I see everyones side but this isn't the place for it.

post #423 of 477
Quote:
Originally Posted by IchibomB View Post

 

Originally Posted by mjoke View Post

here .. let me turn on the light... your right its not everyone.. its a select FEW .. who obviously are "close" lol.


anyways its the last hour.. thanks for the time kill..

 

Sell off tomorrow as rando kinda eluded too.

 

It's not a select few buddy. 

Just a select few that say something about it. 

A select few that have been around for a while. 



ummm sorry to break it to you .. but yes its a select FEW and ones who are recent members. Ones who havent been around the entire time yet think they know things, which they dont. Maybe some need to look at the year joined besides lurking... I have meet a number of people from here, lent money and been lent money.. have friendships with alot of people..if you didnt notice. .I wonder why its always the same 3-4 people who have the problems and like to assume and talk vague crap and im sure send pms and other trite stuff.. hmmmm and yet im told its me?
LMFAO YEAH RIGHT....

i have ran forums, have business relations where the discussion is alot more heated than this, and yet.. never get the lame assumptions and other conjecture to a debate or another perception than i do here. Im active on other boards yet those memebers read me right. So as i said yeah right.
Yes you all have a huge epenis okay and love to get cracks in. Very mature and very productive, more so very obvious where the alliances are.

But i digress... anyways.
post #424 of 477

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjoke View Post


ummm sorry to break it to you .. but yes its a select FEW and ones who are recent members. Ones who havent been around the entire time yet think they know things, which they dont. Maybe some need to look at the year joined besides lurking... I have meet a number of people from here, lent money and been lent money.. have friendships with alot of people..if you didnt notice. .I wonder why its always the same 3-4 people who have the problems and like to assume and talk vague crap and im sure send pms and other trite stuff.. hmmmm and yet im told its me?
LMFAO YEAH RIGHT....
i have ran forums, have business relations where the discussion is alot more heated than this, and yet.. never get the lame assumptions and other conjecture to a debate or another perception than i do here. Im active on other boards yet those memebers read me right. So as i said yeah right.
Yes you all have a huge epenis okay and love to get cracks in. Very mature and very productive, more so very obvious where the alliances are.
But i digress... anyways.

 

Don't forget the part about how you CREaTid THa MaRKeTZ!

post #425 of 477

Just like you created THE pinch play... lol tongue.gif  and get it right; i created man and the universe.. shhesh.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rock Sexton View Post
Don't forget the part about how you CREaTid THa MaRKeTZ!

 

 

 

 

Well moving on.. as im trying to do,  i dont take things personally nor hold grudges..

 

I think a sell off tomorrow, or pinning since its options ex.. then if it is pinned a rise on Monday and decline on tuesday.

See what happens at close today.

 

NQ downward channel on the charts posted yesterday has held, and it might want to test the mid to lower part of that channel.


Edited by mjoke - 4/19/12 at 8:40pm
post #426 of 477
So, what else is new?

Oh, S&P not doing too well!

SPY 137 may not hold this time.suspicious.gif
post #427 of 477

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjoke View Post

here .. let me turn on the light... your you're right its not everyone.. its a select FEW .. who obviously are "close" lol.

 


anyways its the last hour.. thanks for the time kill..

 

Sell off tomorrow as rando kinda eluded too.

 

 

I get paid by the word. At this rate I won't have to trade ever again!

post #428 of 477

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by mjoke View Post


ummm sorry to break it to you .. but yes its a select FEW and ones who are recent members. Ones who havent been around the entire time yet think they know things, which they dont. Maybe some need to look at the year joined besides lurking... I have meet a number of people from here, lent money and been lent money.. have friendships with alot of people..if you didnt notice. .I wonder why its always the same 3-4 people who have the problems and like to assume and talk vague crap and im sure send pms and other trite stuff.. hmmmm and yet im told its me?
LMFAO YEAH RIGHT....
i have ran forums, have business relations where the discussion is alot more heated than this, and yet.. never get the lame assumptions and other conjecture to a debate or another perception than i do here. Im active on other boards yet those memebers read me right. So as i said yeah right.
Yes you all have a huge epenis okay and love to get cracks in. Very mature and very productive, more so very obvious where the alliances are.
But i digress... anyways.

 

okay so you quote me and post your losses on top to show people, "what real losses look like' and mine are just a tickle and I'm the one that tries to have a big e-penis??? 

 

okay buddy!  Yes, it's me then. not you. cool. 

post #429 of 477

ichi.. you can have the last word in like rock.. you always do.

Its fine.. dismiss the other perception as is the norm here.. by a FEW.

 

I quoted your losses buddy.. because you said that was slammed ...and you have been egging me on since yesterday, and the point was to someone else its a tickle.

Its a matter of perception just like risk management, r/r, stop losses and whatever else you want to say.. like timeline eh.

So i never trade, or are vaguely insulting my positions or posts?..so there you go, you saw something and it was a loss after a gain, so its a wash if i close it.

 

Thats all..wasnt to say your losses arnt real, just to me inst slammed and showed mine.  its a matter of perception, proved a point .... and again not what you or rock or bob think. Enjoy. good luck tomorrow.

 

 

 

Edit: i learned alot here more than i knew before and i stay here to give back to the community, pay my dues,.. regardless if some dont like it and some do. Cant please everyone and nor will i attempt too and wont remember any of this later on. Ive seen alot of good members leave (pre and post conversion) and some come, but never witnessed such rediclious assumptions and behavior than i have recently over my tenor here by a few and ones who assume blatantly.

There is a disclaimer below if you need more information. Debate and argument breeds truth, not bullshit.


Edited by mjoke - 4/19/12 at 3:44pm
post #430 of 477

Jesus, CNBC is grilling the dude from Egan Jones right now!  Egan Jones pissed somebody off high up and now TPTB are trying to get rid of them.  Just goes to show who the SEC and CNBC are serving.

post #431 of 477

News of the day:

 

Spanish Auction Fail As 10Y Yield Highest In 5 Months

ZH

Heading into the auction saw spreads and yields rallying to around 403bps and 5.77% respectively for 10Y and the EUR rallying solidly over 1.3150 (helping to push the USD down and implicitly S&P futures up). The 2Y started to leak back wider heading into the auction at around 3.37% (perhaps on rotation to bid for the 10Y?) and as the 430ET deadline passed, yields and spreads shifted higher in the 10Y too by 2-3bps. Spain 5Y CDS was 490bps (-5bps) and 10Y a smidge wider at 470bps. The total sold met the hoped for EUR2.5bn with both seeing a rise in bid-to-cover (which we already noted is useless as a statistic given this was the second highest bid-to-cover ever for a 10Y bond). It was the all-important yield that told the tale of the fail which came at its highest in 5 months and almost 35bps cheap to the previous auction and the 3rd highest ever.

  • *SPAIN SELLS EU1.12 B 2014 BONDS
  • *SPAIN SELLS EU1.42B 10-YEAR BONDS
  • *SPAIN 2014 BONDS BID-TO-COVER 3.28
  • *SPAIN 10-YEAR BONDS BID-TO-COVER 2.42 VS 2.17 AT JAN. AUCTION
  • *SPAIN 2014 BONDS AVG YIELD 3.463%
  • *SPAIN 10-YEAR BONDS AVG YIELD 5.743% VS 5.403% IN JAN.

 

Spain 10Y bond auction yield - highest in 5 months and 3rd highest ever...

20120418_Spain3_0.png

Spanish Equity index (IBEX) deteriorating rapidly (led by financials)...

20120418_Spain4_0.png

UPDATE: 10Y yields are now +8bps from pre-auction and spreads +10bps and 2Y yields are popping even more according to Bloomberg as ES is -8pts off its pre-auction highs and EUR -40 pips from pre-auction. IBEX and broad European equities are off but credit (financials lagging) is deteriorating

Charts: Bloomberg


 

 
 
German Bund futures hit record high at 140.64

Twitter

 


 

Official Report:

US Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report

 

EMPLOYMENT AND TRAINING ADMINISTRATION

USDL 12-0719-NAT

Program Contact:

TRANSMISSION OF MATERIAL IN THIS

Scott Gibbons (202) 693-3008

RELEASE IS EMBARGOED UNTIL

Tony Sznoluch (202) 693-3176

8:30 A.M. (EDT), THURSDAY

Media Contact :

April 19, 2012

(202) 693-4676

 

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE WEEKLY CLAIMS REPORT

          SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA

In the week ending April 14, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 386,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 388,000. The 4-week moving average was 374,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week's revised average of 369,250.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.6 percent for the week ending April 7, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 2.6 percent.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending April 7 was 3,297,000, an increase of 26,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 3,271,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,317,750, a decrease of 21,500 from the preceding week's revised average of 3,339,250.

UNADJUSTED DATA

The advance number of actual initial claims under state programs, unadjusted, totaled 367,550 in the week ending April 14, a decrease of 22,916 from the previous week. There were 381,834 initial claims in the comparable week in 2011.

The advance unadjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.7 percent during the week ending April 7, unchanged from the prior week's unrevised rate of 2.7 percent. The advance unadjusted number for persons claiming UI benefits in state programs totaled 3,432,102, a decrease of 37,981 from the preceding week. A year earlier, the rate was 3.1 percent and the volume was 3,893,218.

The total number of people claiming benefits in all programs for the week ending March 31 was 6,765,080, a decrease of 187,807 from the previous week.

Extended benefits were available in Alabama, Alaska, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, the District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, West Virginia, and Wisconsin during the week ending March 31.

Initial claims for UI benefits by former Federal civilian employees totaled 1,295 in the week ending April 7, an increase of 136 from the prior week. There were 2,564 initial claims by newly discharged veterans, an increase of 287 from the preceding week.

There were 21,384 former Federal civilian employees claiming UI benefits for the week ending March 31, a decrease of 1,684 from the previous week. Newly discharged veterans claiming benefits totaled 40,306, a decrease of 1,254 from the prior week.

States reported 2,775,134 persons claiming EUC (Emergency Unemployment Compensation) benefits for the week ending March 31, a decrease of 19,419 from the prior week. There were 3,527,093 claimants in the comparable week in 2011. EUC weekly claims include first, second, third, and fourth tier activity.

The highest insured unemployment rates in the week ending March 31 were in Alaska (5.6), Oregon (4.3), Puerto Rico (4.3), California (3.8), New Jersey (3.8), Pennsylvania (3.8), Rhode Island (3.8), Idaho (3.7), Connecticut (3.6), Montana (3.6), and Wisconsin (3.6).

The largest increases in initial claims for the week ending April 7 were in Pennsylvania (+7,483), California (+6,587), Washington (+5,985), New Jersey (+5,735), and Indiana (+4,984), while the largest decreases were in Tennessee (-670), Vermont (-78), and North Dakota (-49).


UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE DATA FOR REGULAR STATE PROGRAMS


WEEK ENDING

Advance April 14

April 7

Change

March 31

Prior Year1


Initial Claims (SA)

386,000

388,000

-2,000

362,000

414,000

Initial Claims (NSA)

367,550

390,466

-22,916

315,623

381,834

4-Wk Moving Average (SA)

374,750

369,250

+5,500

363,000

407,750

 

WEEK ENDING

Advance April 7

March 31

Change

March 24

Prior Year1


Ins. Unemployment (SA)

3,297,000

3,271,000

+26,000

3,349,000

3,736,000

Ins. Unemployment (NSA)

3,432,102

3,470,083

-37,981

3,636,706

3,893,218

4-Wk Moving Average (SA)

3,317,750

3,339,250

-21,500

3,370,000

3,753,250


Ins. Unemployment Rate (SA)2

2.6%

2.6%

0.0

2.6%

3.0%

Ins. Unemployment Rate (NSA)2

2.7%

2.7%

0.0

2.9%

3.1%


INITIAL CLAIMS FILED IN FEDERAL PROGRAMS (UNADJUSTED)


WEEK ENDING

April 7

March 31

Change

Prior Year1

Federal Employees

1,295

1,159

+136

2,147

Newly Discharged Veterans

2,564

2,277

+287

2,508


PERSONS CLAIMING UI BENEFITS IN ALL PROGRAMS (UNADJUSTED)


WEEK ENDING

March 31

March 24

Change

Prior Year1

Regular State

3,460,932

3,627,987

-167,055

3,930,763

Federal Employees (UCFE)

21,384

23,068

-1,684

34,060

Newly Discharged Veterans (UCX)

40,306

41,560

-1,254

37,705

EUC 20083

2,775,134

2,794,553

-19,419

3,527,093

Extended Benefits4

426,673

426,907

-234

713,881

State Additional Benefits 5

4,785

4,780

+5

6,656

STC / Workshare 6

35,866

34,032

+1,834

50,214

TOTAL

6,765,080

6,952,887

-187,807

8,300,372


FOOTNOTES
SA - Seasonally Adjusted Data, NSA - Not Seasonally Adjusted Data
1 - Prior year is comparable to most recent data.
2 - Most recent week used covered employment of 127,048,587 as denominator.
3 - EUC weekly claims include first, second, third, and fourth tier activity. Tier-specific EUC data can be found here: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/docs/persons.xls
4 - Information on the EB program can be found here: http://www.ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/extenben.asp
5 - Some states maintain additional benefit programs for those claimants who exhaust regular, extended and emergency benefits. Information on states that participate,
        and the extent of benefits paid, can be found starting on page 4-5 of this link: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/pdf/uilawcompar/2010/special.pdf
6 - Information on STC/Worksharing can be found starting on page 4-9 of the following link: http://ows.doleta.gov/unemploy/pdf/uilawcompar/2010/special.pdf

UNADJUSTED INITIAL CLAIMS FOR WEEK ENDED 04/07/2012


STATES WITH A DECREASE OF MORE THAN 1,000 


State

Change

 

State Supplied Comment

none

 

 

 


STATES WITH AN INCREASE OF MORE THAN 1,000 


State

Change

 

State Supplied Comment

PA

+7,483

 

Layoffs in the transportation, entertainment, lodging, food service, professional, scientific and technology services, and construction industries.

CA

+6,587

 

Layoffs in the service industry.

WA

+5,985

 

Layoffs in the agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, transportation and warehousing, health and social assistance, and accommodations and food service industries.

NJ

+5,735

 

Layoffs in the accommodation and food services, transportation and warehousing, public administration and education services, trade, and manufacturing industries.

IN

+4,984

 

Layoffs in the plastic and rubber manufacturing industries.

NY

+4,158

 

Layoffs in the construction, finance and insurance, and manufacturing industries.

TX

+3,632

 

Layoffs in the manufacturing, support service, and transportation industries.

MD

+3,121

 

No comment.

AZ

+3,034

 

No comment.

OH

+2,662

 

No comment.

IL

+2,323

 

Layoffs in the construction, administrative support service, and trade industries

WI

+2,159

 

Layoffs in the accommodation and food service, transportation and warehousing, and waste service industries.

MI

+2,019

 

Layoffs in the administrative service, waste, and remediation service industries.

NV

+1,908

 

No comment.

AK

+1,708

 

No comment.

MO

+1,467

 

Layoffs in the administrative services, manufacturing, health care, and retail industries.

OR

+1,362

 

No comment.

FL

+1,299

 

Layoffs in the agriculture, construction, manufacturing, trade, retail, and service industries.

CO

+1,127

 

No comment.

MA

+1,038

 

No comment.

GA

+1,007

 

No comment.

 


 

 

French auctions: France sells Eur7.973 bln of OAT and BTAN

 

Out of a projected of Eur 7-8 bln Sold Eur 3.545 bln of 0.75% Sept 2014 BTAN, yield 0.85%, cover 2.286 Sold Eur 1.73 bln of 3.5% April 2015 OAT, yield 1.06%, cover 3.0 Sold Eur 2.698 bln of 1.75% feb 2017 BTAN, yield 1.83%, cover 2.695 Muted reaction this time but pretty much a full take up ahead of this weekend’s 1st round of elections, with EUR/USD stable around 1.3135

post #432 of 477

 

Despites the hammer the scenario seems lowsy for long positions. In 2 hrs chart we can a bear pattern forming, clearly. If this wedge breaks we can see a move 30-40 points down.

 

We will see, next few sessions.

 

See you tomorow guys.

 

 

es.jpg

post #433 of 477

Why do some people in here feel the need to argue? 

 

Maybe we should have a RANT thread or something. 

 

I had to give up looking in here as often because I hate seeing the rants intermixed with great info. :(

post #434 of 477

I'm not in AAPL but for many of you who are...From Pete N on Fast Money (CNBC):

 

 

 

Massive spike in volatility over the past week, and should get even crazier into next week's EPS

One month ago AAPL average move each day was $13.80

This week we've had two days back to back of $32 moves in AAPL, and the 5 day avg is $23.20

The 30 day average volatility in AAPL has been 34, but next week's expiry (April 27) options are pricing at implied volatility of 67. May options are 47.

 

 a


 

post #435 of 477

NQ2.png

 

contcorner.png

post #436 of 477

.

Hey, would anyone here care now for a chart say, of SPAIN ?.......

.

Because I'd say she's heading now down towards 4000......

Just based on the/a Ruler-Line up from her lows.

.

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=ibex&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=10360017&style=320&freq=1&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=20&rand=1642250301&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=0&maval=9&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&height=335&width=579&mocktick=1

post #437 of 477

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by nowwhat View Post

.

Hey, would anyone here care now for a chart say, of SPAIN ?.......

.

Because I'd say she's heading now down towards 4000......

Just based on the/a Ruler-Line up from her lows.

.

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=ibex&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=10360017&style=320&freq=1&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=20&rand=1642250301&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=0&maval=9&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&height=335&width=579&mocktick=1

 

Ah yes, levels we haven't seen in nearly 20 years. One could argue a bounce from 6000 then, using simple ruler logic.

post #438 of 477

 

Originally Posted by Bishop View Post

 One could argue a bounce from 6000 then, using simple ruler logic.

 

 

Uh-uh, my thoughts exactly !.....

post #439 of 477

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by nowwhat View Post

.

Hey, would anyone here care now for a chart say, of SPAIN ?.......

.

Because I'd say she's heading now down towards 4000......

Just based on the/a Ruler-Line up from her lows.

.

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=ibex&uf=0&type=2&size=2&sid=10360017&style=320&freq=1&entitlementtoken=0c33378313484ba9b46b8e24ded87dd6&time=20&rand=1642250301&compidx=aaaaa%3a0&ma=0&maval=9&lf=1&lf2=0&lf3=0&height=335&width=579&mocktick=1

 

Are you a Jared Loughner in the making?  Really, all of your posts are negative, broken, and mystical at best.

 

Plus, those charts you keep posting look like they were made on a 1985 mac, sans the yellow.  Who with a conscience would even allow a site with charts like that to be generated?

 

I'm out for most of tomorrow; this week is gambling at best (like I described in an options thread).  I'll pick 2-3 options during power hour tomorrow and grit my teeth for a positive Monday.

post #440 of 477

 

Quote:
Originally Posted by ninjaneer View Post

 

 

Are you a Jared Loughner in the making?  Really, all of your posts are negative, broken, and mystical at best.

 

Plus, those charts you keep posting look like they were made on a 1985 mac, sans the yellow.  Who with a conscience would even allow a site with charts like that to be generated?

 

I'm out for most of tomorrow; this week is gambling at best (like I described in an options thread).  I'll pick 2-3 options during power hour tomorrow and grit my teeth for a positive Monday.

 

LOL .... he's our "special" poster.  

 

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