The following is a copy of the commentary I provided in the thread about BAC (post 6349): I thought I'd share it here since I am in.
This stock has some promise. In fact, I’m in. I got in a little late at $7.50, and it’s currently at $7.90. My biggest concern is that the dominant energy is still down, as indicated by the downward angle of my intermediate term trend indicator, but there is a lot of good signs on the charts—at least that is so in accordance with my interpretation.
My short term cycle indicator is overbought, but it’s still angling up. Not only that, my longer term cycle indicator is also angling up—but not overbought. I do expect a hook down to occur in the very near future (on my shorter term cycle indicator), but I’m not too overly concerned with that because my short-term momentum indicator is still angling in the direction of my trade on both my short term chart and higher term chart. Another interesting observation I’ve made is that my longer term momentum indicator isn’t showing signs of flattening out—and it’s still angling up.
One of the things that stood out to me is the fact that the short-term momentum indicator showed a higher low back on 6-5-12, and my short-term momentum indicator is a leading indicator of price, giving me a bit more confidence in my trade. My longer momentum indicator is a lagging indicator, and I think it’s still on track for continuing upward.
When I take a look at my longer term timeframe, I am pleased that both my cycle indicators are still on an upward trend; however, my short-term cycle indicator is sitting slap dab on 100 with absolutely nowhere to go since it’s a bounded indicator, but my longer term cycle indicator isn’t overbought and still moving up.
I don’t give too much credence to my cycle indicator when it gets stuck in the overbought territory, but the best news of all to counteract that reality is that the short-term momentum indicator (an unbounded oscillator) is still (and I’m glad) angling up, so all in all, I suspect the price to put in some higher highs.
There are still some issues, however. BAC has hit some resistance on both my short-term chart and my higher term chart, and it’s strong resistance, and even just over that is some more resistance (the 100sma), but I believe momentum is sufficient enough to pass through that resistance and provide support.
The next obvious resistance after that would be the cycle high price on 5-1-12, and the high for that day was $8.40, and that falls just shy of the low number StockJock-e pointed out ($8.50). The next cycle high after that is at $9.17, but I certainly don’t hold any hopes for that to come about. In fact, if anyone is in, I’d keep your finger on the trigger as it approaches $8.37—three ticks before the cycle high of $8.40 that falls just short of the $8.50 estimate.
Personally, I’ll probably be in and out (too early to say) unless I see a major shift in the intermediate trend.
Anyhow, that’s my two cents.