HotStockMarket › Forums › HSM Stock Forum › FOREX Forums › Trading Forex with Price Action Journal *NOW LIVE*
New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:

Trading Forex with Price Action Journal *NOW LIVE*

post #1 of 473
Thread Starter 

Is HSM's Forex group very low populated or what! I have been trading/studying forex through demo account and I think I may have finally found my cup of tea. I was never great at picking stocks and I am also not much of a fundamental guy. What I have found works fine for me was the use of TA. But in the equity market, price never behaves the way they set themselves up most of the time. On top of that, if I find myself right in my analysis, I'm wrong on the timing.

 

Enter the forex market. I have watched price move a lot and applying my own TA to them. I find that they behave exactly the way they set themselves up to be most of the time! (more often than the equity market anyway) Same goes for the futures market. I chose to test out forex just because of its 24hr market which allows me to still be in the market when I am out of work and school. Nevertheless, futures is something I plan on looking into in the future as well (again because I like the way price behaves on it) but for now I will be trading forex. I have learned a lot browsing around online and feel ready to finally compile all my thoughts and actions into one place.

 

Anyway, I opened a demo account on MetaTrader4 and plan on trading with the demo account for the next few months. If and when I profit consistently for at least four months, I will fund a real account and trade with it. Until then, demo! I set my account to $5,000 and 10:1 leverage (the amount I will fund my account with). Leverage is double-edge and 10:1 is the max I plan on funding. With that amount of leverage I can trade 10,000 lots at $1/pip maximum. I'll get into money management later.

 

My trading method will rely only on price actions coupled with support/resistance (MA's, trendline, fib). That's it. I am trying to keep it as simple as possible. In other words, I will be trading mainly off candlestick's formation:

 

  • Hammer/Hanging Man/Shooting Star/Inverted Hammer (aka Pins)
  • Bullish and Bearish Engulfing (Outside Bars)
  • Double Low Higher Close/Double High Lower Close (DBLHC/DBHLC)
  • Haramis (Inside Bars)

 

That's it! My plan is to look for them at possible swing highs and lows. That's step #1.

 

Step 2 is to look for support and resistance at the region where the price action has presented itself. It can be from trendlines, fibonaccis, moving averages, and previous S/A. The longer time frame, the better. In addition, if price action occurs where there are confluences from any of those S/R...even better! The objective is to look for price action at S/R area with confluences.

 

Easy two steps system. I like to keep things simple because I find that if I am ever presented with more information my mind goes crazy. There will not be any indicators used. Sometimes I like to bring it up to check for divergences at swing highs or lows to add to what I already have. I won't trade just solely based on divergences (got burnt enough times with it).

 

I will risk no more than 2% of my account on any of the trades. That means if I entered with a 10,000 lot my maximum loss can only be 100pips. 

 

I will also try to keep most of my trade in the daily/weekly time frame and pick an entry in the intraday chart (H4/H1/M15). I will throw in some day trades from time to time if I spot a trade I like but I am going to stick to daily charts most of the time.

 

Let's get started then!

 

I will start this thread showing my first trade made in my MT4 demo account:

 

H4.png

 

I picked my entry off the H4 chart in this one. The underlying reason to go long was bullish outer bars forming on the daily chart.

 

 

 

 

post #2 of 473
Good Luck! smile.gif
post #3 of 473

excellent thread and plan for yourself. Look forward to seeing your progress...thumbup.gif 

 

 

and yes this is a 'quiet' forum...but its watched by many....plus its nicer that way and more welcoming to learn at speed without being drowned out...

 

 

If you run into any bumps---lots of us will be happy to help you learn and improve.... 

 

 

GLTA...forex is the best...but it does take time to hone the edge...

-w

post #4 of 473
Thread Starter 

Thanks for all the kind words! smile.gif

 

Update on that EUR/USD trade. I closed my final 25% at 4675. The total trade has given me a net of 161pips. It could be time to go short again depending on how the daily candle on this pair closes tomorrow. H4 chart is already showing tweezers and bearish inside bar at resistance where TL meets a PPA. I also want to show a wondering ascending triangle play that would've been very profitable earlier today. Trading the breakout of that triangle could have net you at least 50-60pips. Shows how powerful price pattern can be when coupled with price action at strong S/R levels.

 

M15.png

 

 

 

post #5 of 473
Thread Starter 

Here is another trade I took earlier today. A bit in the red right now but I'll be patient!

 

DAY.png

post #6 of 473
Thread Starter 

My USD/JPY trade was stopped out. Had about 30pips in profit while I was asleep but I wasn't here for it. Couldn't set a trail stop or a breakeven stop too since I was a few pips down when I went to bed.

 

Anyway I reentered short again since another opportunity popped up. Will update with a chart later.

post #7 of 473
Thread Starter 

Current trade:

 

H1.png

 

 

H4.png

post #8 of 473
Thread Starter 

I want to show a trade that I missed but it was an easy trade that was highly profitable:

 

H1.png

post #9 of 473
Thread Starter 

Since I missed the trade on the H1 chart. I looked into the M15 for possible entries, and I found one:

 

M15.png

post #10 of 473
Thread Starter 

Bearish engulfing is scary. I moved my stop to just a few pips below the close of the engulfing candle.

 

M15.png

post #11 of 473
Thread Starter 

EUR/USD trade stopped out at 4777 got a gain of 30 pips.

post #12 of 473
Thread Starter 

Closed my trade on USD/JPY as well for a gain of 42 pips. Went long again based on H1 chart. Will post a chart later.

post #13 of 473
We trade in a very similar manner, however I'm still experimenting with the larger time frames. All the best of luck to ya. I'll be creepin' in the shadows wink.gif
post #14 of 473
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by RebelT09 View Post

We trade in a very similar manner, however I'm still experimenting with the larger time frames. All the best of luck to ya. I'll be creepin' in the shadows wink.gif


Thanks! Nice blog btw!

post #15 of 473
Thread Starter 

Here is one trade gone wrong. Still in it because stop loss wasn't triggered yet. The current's candle low was actually just a few pips away from my SL:

 

H1.png

 

 

post #16 of 473
Thread Starter 

One last chart before I head to bed:

 

H1.png

post #17 of 473
Thread Starter 

Chart

 

H1.png

post #18 of 473

Nice trading and analysis JLC!

post #19 of 473
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by IchibomB View Post

Nice trading and analysis JLC!



Thanks!

 

Not much going on today. Still in my short on EUR/USD. One thing I need to stop doing is to look at the H1 charts. I watched as I saw my profit shrunk from 80 to 20 pips in a roller coaster ride today. Lot of times when I felt like I just want to take profit but I keep reminding myself this is a longer term play based on the pin formed on daily chart. Saw a few potential trades in the other pairs but not exactly A+++ material. Which brings up the subject of being picky with my entries. I really need to be more picky and stick to the A+++ trades. So what if I missed a run that was many pips profit if the entry signal was not strong. Taking trades like these I'll probably lose more than I gained. I need to stick to high quality entries that guarantees higher % winning trades and keep myself away from losing money which should be ultimate goal.

post #20 of 473
Quote:
Originally Posted by JLC View Post





Thanks!

 

Not much going on today. Still in my short on EUR/USD. One thing I need to stop doing is to look at the H1 charts. I watched as I saw my profit shrunk from 80 to 20 pips in a roller coaster ride today. Lot of times when I felt like I just want to take profit but I keep reminding myself this is a longer term play based on the pin formed on daily chart. Saw a few potential trades in the other pairs but not exactly A+++ material. Which brings up the subject of being picky with my entries. I really need to be more picky and stick to the A+++ trades. So what if I missed a run that was many pips profit if the entry signal was not strong. Taking trades like these I'll probably lose more than I gained. I need to stick to high quality entries that guarantees higher % winning trades and keep myself away from losing money which should be ultimate goal.


 

Its good to see you look to choose Quality over Quantity...because building Consistency is what is key here.thumbup.gif  Selectivity is always a challenge to master and maintain, because everything looks like a great trade at first and when things get rolling its easy to get sloppy...until you start pausing to look at things like what is the catalyst or Technical or Fundamental here...what is the price strength or weakness here....or what is the history, timing or time-line...what is the current or future sentiment in market and is that holding...what is the exhaustion level and what is the pairs comfort zone.. Asking yourself questions like that and more and scrutinizing is excellent because it helps you to weigh the probabilities and measure how much it can go within reason or within your 'safety zone' for that trade risk...

 

You certainly need to be very selective and careful on timing when trying to long the USD against almost anything lately (except the Yen it seems rolleyes.gif  ).. I noted the other day to be watchful for the EUR to head towards 1.50 and the AUD to plow towards 1.10 if Bernanke was not 'same ole same sole' in his attitude and that's what the pairs have been doing thanks to the Fed Chairman the other day who basically pushed the knife in deeper into the heart of the USD... So when pressure is on even more---being scrutinizing and selective is what can save you from getting blindsided..

 

 

-w

 

New Posts  All Forums:Forum Nav:
  Return Home
  Back to Forum: FOREX Forums
HotStockMarket › Forums › HSM Stock Forum › FOREX Forums › Trading Forex with Price Action Journal *NOW LIVE*