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Back to Basics; Moving average

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Old Feb 7th, 2007, 06:32 PM   #1
techno791
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Thumbs up Back to Basics; Moving average



After messing around with too many things, I got back to looking for simple MA crossovers, on the hourly. 5EMA crossed the 10EMA after price bounced off my little zone thing passed my Hull Moving Average, MACD about to cross and CCI crossing -40 all at the same time.
Perfect. All on the last 6 bars. I love the smooth curved EMA crossovers.

Unfortunately on this pair, the drop was the size of the spread.

Now I just need everyone to constantly monitor them, and phone me when it's time to trade.
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Old Feb 7th, 2007, 07:39 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by techno791

Now I just need everyone to constantly monitor them, and phone me when it's time to trade.

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Old Feb 7th, 2007, 11:07 PM   #3
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Set-up isn't as perfect as the last time. I don't have the smooth downturn, nor a smooth break. Blue bar 2 hours before the event may be the signal that it's not going to be clean.

But look at that reversal. The lines touched, I had a small red candle, MACD right at the crossover, CCI right on that boundary, and bam, it reverses. I backchecked and noticed this one a few hours ago. That was my complaint about Moving Averages crossing, or about to cross, and the opposite happened.

Obviously, because of this, i should go after examples like the top one, where the line is smoother and less shakey, with better candle patterns. Also on further review, 120.55 is a 1hr support. I had read something about if the MACD crosses over,and immedialy comes back, you'll have a good play for pips, think you need it in conjunction of something else.

It just goes to show you, Just anticipating a moving average crossover isn't entirely enough. I'm only going to do clean breaks and patterns. And if I'm wrong, tell me why it seems like I have to be so picky on these?

BUT, if you look to the left at around the 2am area of FEB 6th, the MAC-D wasn't at the line yet, but the reverse, break, and crossover, candle, and CCI looked good. Looks like 20 pips.
New focus, MA Crossover play on a "trend", not after any sideways movement.
----

If you use Stochastics and RSI instead you would have gotten no signal in this example as the RSI was above 50. But the 2am example I noticed in the photo has a nice RSI above 50 and Sto's uptrending. But now you're getting too many indicators!
But what is CCI except being almost the same thing.
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