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BIG BOARD FAQ's - Evaluating Stocks...

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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 03:09 PM   #1
MindOverMarkets
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BIG BOARD FAQ's - Evaluating Stocks...

Hello Everyone,

As more people are coming to the big boards, and there has been a great increase in activity on this forum, I'm starting this tread to answer any questions people may have about the Big Boards.

Small-Large cap stocks are very different from pennies, and there are a number of different things to look at when trading or investing in them.

Please feel free to post all of you question or concerns here, and I will work to get them answered.

Good Luck to everyone...

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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 04:16 PM   #2
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Good one.

One of the things that I've always wondered is how to spot a stock in the process of bottoming out and the bouncing. That why I was so giddy to see a neg. divergence on GOOG (something I had learnt while learning to TA) and to see it for a day.

Anyhoo, I'm told over and over that TA doesn't help much with pennies. And I've noticed many people have "filters" that look at different things make a stock stand out as a possible runner.

But with the mid-caps what's the best strategy to learn finding the stocks that are going to do well? What are the more common and important things that most people use to help them in finding stocks?

Thanks.
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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 05:29 PM   #3
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Great question, and props for being the first one to ask...

Let me make this clear, I will refer to small-large cap stocks as stocks, and Micro cap & anything on the OTC or Pinksheets as pennies...

Well for stocks that are bottoming out and potentially bouncing you have to do some research. If the stock announced news and went up $1, but the next couple of days pulls back, that is fine, since the decline was on no significant news, just a little bit of profit taking, you can assume it is only a pullback. Many investors believe in a 50% retracement rule, saying that a stock will likely retrace 50% of its gain, so if a stock goes up by $10, it may pull back down $5 before it moves up again. Now this is not factually proven, but is accepted, and I believe it is a self-fulfilling prophecy because lots of people believe in it.

When you are looking for a stock to bounce, try to figure out why it is selling off, and if the reason is valid, and if it justifies the movement. The market tends to panic and run for the doors, a lot of the time it is an overreaction, for example look at Apple's earnings for Q3, and how the stock went down. But be careful, as sometimes it is just the first wave, look at CD.

BUYING OPPORTUNITY: A very good buying opportunity is when a sector does poorly. For example, when Refco was going through their scandal, you could have bought Goldman Sachs (which was on the discount isle because of refco) for $110.

In the same sense, the above can be a great selling opportunity, when the market does really well, it may be a good time to sell some of the losers.

I use the most basic of TA, nothing to complicated, because I think fundamentals are a much stronger means to judge a company, and Technicians are usually blind when it comes to the stock price, all they see is MACD convergence and RSI movement, which is great, dont get me wrong, but if you ignore the companies fundamentals, its like using the best navigation equipment on a REALLY BAD ship, your equipment cant stop you from crashing, and wont help your ship sail a certain way...

Read the TEACH ME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS thread in the Stock Market University Forum, great start, and I think SJ does a good job explaining.

TA works great, dont get me wrong. It can tell you everything you need to know about the activity and movement of a stock.

I personally don't use filters. I look for stocks based on upcoming events (earnings, splits, meetings, economic news, ect.)

A great website for market calenders (Earnings, Economic, Splits, and other Events)
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor...t/earncalendar

What you have to remember with stocks vs pennies, is that stocks move in sectors, people say 25% of a stocks movement is its sector. They also move with the market, most good stocks do well on days the market does well, unless their sector does bad, or they have bad news.

Just read, is the big thing, look at PR's, read articles, look at different recommendations on the stock, read research reports by analysts (but use them only as an opinion, not the determining factor)

If you read, look at the past and see how the stocks price changed with news, and apply some TA with basic TA. You will be in good shape.

ALSO IF I MAY SAY SO ONE OF THE BEST PLACES TO LOOK FOR STOCKS IS.... HSM!

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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 07:32 PM   #4
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Thats a nice piece of advice MoM.. Also congratulations on your new promotion as Junior Analyst
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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 07:35 PM   #5
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Thanks
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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 09:00 PM   #6
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MACD and all that other stuff please
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Old Jan 4th, 2006, 09:02 PM   #7
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Good job Mindova and congrats on the promotion, if you have time, what do you think of my target of 78.00 on BMHC. I can make about 10 bucks share sellin there. It appear to be classic example of a very bullish long term stock that goes into a periodic consolisdation stage and if read and played correctly can be a real $ winner,
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Old Jan 5th, 2006, 02:01 AM   #8
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Thanks MindOverMarkets!

That's quite an amount of information. I'm probably gonna read it over and focus on different aspect of TA and of what you said.

When I go to places like pinksheets.com or places that talk stock, I just get dazed and glassy eyed with all the choices and within a couple of minutes, I'm bored of all that choice.

But I will keep trying to just spend enough time to find some winners. I had been spending quite some time on here a whlie back but then work came up and I started flying around quite a bit and just didn't feel like getting online from a hotel. Anyhoo, this time I'll try to be a little more interested.

Thanks for the good advice and congrats, again!

Now, there's the matter of finding a suitable acronym or a new nickname for you 'coz I see people have been going "mindova", "mom", "MOM", "MoM" and so on.
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Old Jan 5th, 2006, 03:44 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LilCoonazz
Good job Mindova and congrats on the promotion, if you have time, what do you think of my target of 78.00 on BMHC. I can make about 10 bucks share sellin there. It appear to be classic example of a very bullish long term stock that goes into a periodic consolisdation stage and if read and played correctly can be a real $ winner,
Well, BMHC is cheap now, but your fate my friend, will lie in the housing market. They've had great growth in revenue and earnings, and things in the housing market are sporadic, despite recent good news, new studies come out all of the time. I think you are in pretty good shape. I think if it stays over 200 ma, it will continue upward, if it dips below on volume, we will go lower... But overall, longterm it is cheap, but a play on the housing market, which I would not play personally, but it looks ok.
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Old Jan 5th, 2006, 03:45 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Archon810
MACD and all that other stuff please
Moving average convergence-divergence
A technical analysis indicator based on the interaction of a long-term moving average and a short-term moving average. Consists of 2 lines, and their crossovers may produce bullish or bearish signals.

BULLISH-MACD
When the short-term line crosses over the long term line. Very easy to understand, basically it signifies that the short term trend is stronger than the longer term trend. Many traders pay attention to MACD's and crossovers usually create large shifts in price, though not always.




BEARISH-MACD
When the long-term line crosses over the short-term line. Signifies that the long term downtrend is stronger than the short term trend.


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